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Predictions › United Kingdom › Lincoln City vs Birmingham City
ChampionshipSat 31 Oct, 12:30 United Kingdom time

Lincoln City vs Birmingham City prediction

LNER Stadium

Lincoln CityHome
0.83 : 1.70
expected goals
Birmingham CityAway
17%Lincoln City
25%Draw
57%Birmingham
Eagle safe pickBirmingham City or Draw
2/9

Quick answer

Our prediction for Lincoln City vs Birmingham City is Birmingham City to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Birmingham City or Draw at 2/9.

Prediction
Birmingham City to win
Chance
57%
Most likely score
0-1
Expected goals
Lincoln City 0.8, Birmingham City 1.7
Best bet
Birmingham City or Draw at 2/9
Both teams to score
47%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Birmingham City or Draw
82% chanceFair price 2/92 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Birmingham City to win and Over 2.5
32% chanceFair price 85/401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Lincoln City 17%, the draw 25% and Birmingham City 57%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Lincoln City took 4 points from their last 5 games and Birmingham City took 13 from 5. Birmingham City come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Lincoln City won 2 of their last 7 games at home. Birmingham City won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Lincoln City score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.6. Birmingham City score 1.6 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Lincoln City games and 12 of Birmingham City games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Birmingham City or Draw has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Lincoln Cityrecent form-3%
  • Birminghamrecent form+4%
Lincoln City form D L L L WBirmingham form D W W D WHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Lincoln City vs Birmingham City: Birmingham City are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Lincoln City host Birmingham City in the Championship on Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 at LNER Stadium. Our prediction for Lincoln City vs Birmingham City is Birmingham City to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Birmingham City or Draw at 2/9.

Lincoln City form

Lincoln City have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Birmingham City form

Birmingham City have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Lincoln City to score about 0.8 goals and Birmingham City about 1.7. That points to Birmingham City to win, with 0-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Birmingham City or Draw at 2/9. Our bold bet is Birmingham City to win and Over 2.5 at 85/40.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Lincoln CityBirmingham
Games played2020
Wins109
Draws47
Losses64
Goals scored2931
Goals conceded3224
Scored per game1.41.6
Conceded per game1.61.2
Home record2W 2D 3L5W 4D 2L
Away record8W 2D 3L4W 3D 2L
Clean sheets30%30%
Both teams scored55%65%
Over 2.5 goals65%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals72%4/11
Over 2.5 goals46%6/5
Over 3.5 goals25%3/1
Both teams to score47%11/10
Lincoln City or Draw43%11/8
Birmingham City or Draw83%1/5
Lincoln City to win and Over 2.59%11/1
Birmingham City to win and Over 2.533%2/1
Lincoln City clean sheet18%9/2
Birmingham City clean sheet44%5/4

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-112.9%
1-111.9%
0-211.6%
1-29.5%
0-08.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Lincoln City vs Birmingham City?

Our prediction for Lincoln City vs Birmingham City is Birmingham City to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Birmingham City or Draw at 2/9.

What is the score prediction for Lincoln City vs Birmingham City?

0-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-2. We expect Lincoln City to score 0.8 goals and Birmingham City 1.7.

Will both teams score in Lincoln City vs Birmingham City?

Both teams to score has a 47% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Lincoln City last 20 games and 13 of Birmingham City last 20.

How are Lincoln City playing?

Lincoln City have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Birmingham City playing?

Birmingham City have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Lincoln City vs Birmingham City?

Birmingham City or Draw at 2/9, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Lincoln City against Birmingham. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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