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Predictions › Conference League › Lincoln Red Imps vs FC Twente
Conference LeagueThu 22 Oct, 19:00 UTC

Lincoln Red Imps vs FC Twente prediction

Europa Point Stadium

Lincoln Red ImpsHome
1.52 : 1.67
expected goals
FC TwenteAway
34%Red Imps
25%Draw
41%FC Twente
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Lincoln Red Imps vs FC Twente is FC Twente to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Prediction
FC Twente to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Lincoln Red Imps 1.5, FC Twente 1.7
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.23
Both teams to score
64%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 1.232 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

FC Twente to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 3.721 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Lincoln Red Imps 34%, the draw 25% and FC Twente 41%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Lincoln Red Imps took 7 points from their last 5 games and FC Twente took 11 from 5. FC Twente come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Lincoln Red Imps won 2 of their last 3 games at home. FC Twente won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Lincoln Red Imps score 1.2 goals a game and let in 2.5. FC Twente score 1.9 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of Lincoln Red Imps games and 12 of FC Twente games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Red Impsrecent form-1%
  • FC Twenterecent form+4%
  • Red Impsrest between games-3%
  • FC Twenterest between games-2%
Red Imps form W L L D DFC Twente form D W W W DHome edge in this league 38% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Lincoln Red Imps vs FC Twente: FC Twente shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Lincoln Red Imps host FC Twente in the Conference League on Thu 22 Oct, 19:00 at Europa Point Stadium. Our prediction for Lincoln Red Imps vs FC Twente is FC Twente to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Lincoln Red Imps form

Lincoln Red Imps have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 games, with 7 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, W, newest first.

FC Twente form

FC Twente have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Lincoln Red Imps to score about 1.5 goals and FC Twente about 1.7. That points to FC Twente to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23. Our bold bet is FC Twente to win and Over 2.5 at 3.72.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Red ImpsFC Twente
Games played620
Wins212
Draws15
Losses33
Goals scored739
Goals conceded1524
Scored per game1.21.9
Conceded per game2.51.2
Home record2W 1D 0L8W 1D 1L
Away record0W 0D 3L4W 4D 2L
Clean sheets0%20%
Both teams scored83%70%
Over 2.5 goals83%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%1.20
Over 2.5 goals62%1.62
Over 3.5 goals39%2.54
Both teams to score64%1.56
Lincoln Red Imps or Draw59%1.69
FC Twente or Draw66%1.52
Lincoln Red Imps to win and Over 2.524%4.17
FC Twente to win and Over 2.529%3.46
Lincoln Red Imps clean sheet19%5.31
FC Twente clean sheet22%4.55

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.1%
1-28.7%
2-17.9%
2-26.6%
0-16.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Lincoln Red Imps vs FC Twente?

Our prediction for Lincoln Red Imps vs FC Twente is FC Twente to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Lincoln Red Imps vs FC Twente?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Lincoln Red Imps to score 1.5 goals and FC Twente 1.7.

Will both teams score in Lincoln Red Imps vs FC Twente?

Both teams to score has a 64% chance. Both sides scored in 5 of Lincoln Red Imps last 6 games and 14 of FC Twente last 20.

How are Lincoln Red Imps playing?

Lincoln Red Imps have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 games, with 7 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, W, newest first.

How are FC Twente playing?

FC Twente have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Lincoln Red Imps vs FC Twente?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.23, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Red Imps against FC Twente. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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