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Predictions › Conference League › Lincoln Red Imps vs Hajduk Split
Conference LeagueThu 5 Nov, 17:45 UTC

Lincoln Red Imps vs Hajduk Split prediction

Europa Point Stadium

Lincoln Red ImpsHome
1.40 : 1.76
expected goals
Hajduk SplitAway
30%Red Imps
24%Draw
45%Hajduk Split
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Lincoln Red Imps vs Hajduk Split is Hajduk Split to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction
Hajduk Split to win
Chance
45%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Lincoln Red Imps 1.4, Hajduk Split 1.8
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score
63%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Hajduk Split to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 3.261 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Lincoln Red Imps 30%, the draw 24% and Hajduk Split 45%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Lincoln Red Imps took 3 points from their last 5 games and Hajduk Split took 6 from 2. Hajduk Split come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Lincoln Red Imps score 1.1 goals a game and let in 2.6. Hajduk Split score 1.5 and let in 0.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Lincoln Red Imps games and 1 of Hajduk Split games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Red Impsrecent form-3%
  • Hajduk Splitrecent form+4%
Red Imps form D L W L LHajduk Split form D W W D WHome edge in this league 36% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Lincoln Red Imps vs Hajduk Split: Hajduk Split are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Lincoln Red Imps host Hajduk Split in the Conference League on Thu 5 Nov, 17:45 at Europa Point Stadium. Our prediction for Lincoln Red Imps vs Hajduk Split is Hajduk Split to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Lincoln Red Imps form

Lincoln Red Imps have 2 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 8 games, with 9 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 4. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Hajduk Split form

Hajduk Split have 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses in their last 2 games, with 3 goals scored and 1 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses from 1. Their last 2 results read W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Lincoln Red Imps to score about 1.4 goals and Hajduk Split about 1.8. That points to Hajduk Split to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Hajduk Split to win and Over 2.5 at 3.26.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 8 games in all competitions.

Red ImpsHajduk Split
Games played82
Wins22
Draws10
Losses50
Goals scored93
Goals conceded211
Scored per game1.11.5
Conceded per game2.60.5
Home record2W 1D 1L1W 0D 0L
Away record0W 0D 4L1W 0D 0L
Clean sheets0%50%
Both teams scored88%50%
Over 2.5 goals88%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%1.21
Over 2.5 goals61%1.64
Over 3.5 goals39%2.58
Both teams to score63%1.59
Lincoln Red Imps or Draw55%1.83
Hajduk Split or Draw70%1.43
Lincoln Red Imps to win and Over 2.521%4.86
Hajduk Split to win and Over 2.532%3.13
Lincoln Red Imps clean sheet17%5.79
Hajduk Split clean sheet25%4.04

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.1%
1-29.2%
2-17.3%
0-16.9%
0-26.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Lincoln Red Imps vs Hajduk Split?

Our prediction for Lincoln Red Imps vs Hajduk Split is Hajduk Split to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Lincoln Red Imps vs Hajduk Split?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Lincoln Red Imps to score 1.4 goals and Hajduk Split 1.8.

Will both teams score in Lincoln Red Imps vs Hajduk Split?

Both teams to score has a 63% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Lincoln Red Imps last 8 games and 1 of Hajduk Split last 2.

How are Lincoln Red Imps playing?

Lincoln Red Imps have 2 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 8 games, with 9 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 4. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Hajduk Split playing?

Hajduk Split have 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses in their last 2 games, with 3 goals scored and 1 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses from 1. Their last 2 results read W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Lincoln Red Imps vs Hajduk Split?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Red Imps against Hajduk Split. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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