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Predictions › Uruguay › Liverpool vs Juventud
Uruguayan Primera DivisionMon 2 Nov, 23:00 Uruguay time

Liverpool vs Juventud prediction

Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera

LiverpoolHome
1.25 : 0.87
expected goals
JuventudAway
44%Liverpool
31%Draw
25%Juventud
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Liverpool vs Juventud is Liverpool to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20.

Prediction
Liverpool to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Liverpool 1.3, Juventud 0.9
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.20
Both teams to score
42%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
14% chanceFair price 7.061 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Liverpool 44%, the draw 31% and Juventud 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Liverpool took 11 points from their last 5 games and Juventud took 8 from 5. Liverpool come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Liverpool won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Juventud won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Liverpool score 1.4 goals a game and let in 0.7. Juventud score 1.2 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Liverpool games and 7 of Juventud games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Liverpool won 0 and Juventud won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Juventud 1, Liverpool 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Liverpoolrecent form+3%
  • Juventudrecent form+3%
Liverpool form D D W W DJuventud form D W D D WHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Liverpool vs Juventud: Liverpool shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Liverpool host Juventud in the Uruguayan Primera Division on Mon 2 Nov, 23:00 at Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera. Our prediction for Liverpool vs Juventud is Liverpool to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20.

Liverpool form

Liverpool have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, D, newest first.

Juventud form

Juventud have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Liverpool won 0, Juventud won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Juventud 1, Liverpool 1.

Our call

We expect Liverpool to score about 1.3 goals and Juventud about 0.9. That points to Liverpool to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 7.06.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

LiverpoolJuventud
Games played2020
Wins108
Draws67
Losses45
Goals scored2724
Goals conceded1421
Scored per game1.41.2
Conceded per game0.71.1
Home record6W 3D 1L4W 2D 3L
Away record4W 3D 3L4W 5D 2L
Clean sheets55%40%
Both teams scored40%50%
Over 2.5 goals45%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals63%1.58
Over 2.5 goals36%2.81
Over 3.5 goals17%6.05
Both teams to score42%2.36
Liverpool or Draw75%1.34
Juventud or Draw56%1.79
Liverpool to win and Over 2.521%4.85
Juventud to win and Over 2.511%9.15
Liverpool clean sheet42%2.40
Juventud clean sheet29%3.48

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-014.2%
1-113.9%
0-012.8%
0-19.7%
2-09.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Liverpool vs Juventud?

Our prediction for Liverpool vs Juventud is Liverpool to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Liverpool vs Juventud?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect Liverpool to score 1.3 goals and Juventud 0.9.

Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Juventud?

Both teams to score has a 42% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Liverpool last 20 games and 10 of Juventud last 20.

How are Liverpool playing?

Liverpool have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, D, newest first.

How are Juventud playing?

Juventud have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Liverpool and Juventud last met?

It ended Juventud 1, Liverpool 1. In the last 2 meetings Liverpool won 0 and Juventud won 1.

What is the best bet for Liverpool vs Juventud?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Liverpool against Juventud. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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