Predictions › United Kingdom › Liverpool vs Arsenal

Premier LeagueSun 1 Nov, 16:30 United Kingdom time

Liverpool vs Arsenal prediction

Anfield

LiverpoolHome

1.17 : 1.50

expected goals

ArsenalAway

29%Liverpool

27%Draw

44%Arsenal

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1/3

Quick answer

Our prediction for Liverpool vs Arsenal is Arsenal to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

Prediction: Arsenal to win
Chance: 44%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Liverpool 1.2, Arsenal 1.5
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1/3
Both teams to score: 54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

76% chanceFair price 1/32 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Arsenal to win and Over 2.5

26% chanceFair price 11/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Liverpool 29%, the draw 27% and Arsenal 44%. The bookmakers agree and make Arsenal the favourite at 11/10.
2
Recent form
Liverpool took 12 points from their last 5 games and Arsenal took 10 from 5. Liverpool come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Liverpool won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Arsenal won 7 of their last 12 on the road.
4
Goals
Liverpool score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.6. Arsenal score 1.6 and let in 0.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Liverpool games and 10 of Arsenal games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Liverpool won 0 and Arsenal won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Arsenal 0, Liverpool 0.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Liverpoolrecent form+3%
Arsenalrecent form+3%
Liverpoolrest between games-2%
Arsenalrest between games-5%
Arsenalteam news-1%

Liverpool form D W W L WArsenal form D W W W LHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Liverpool vs Arsenal: Arsenal shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Liverpool host Arsenal in the Premier League on Sun 1 Nov, 16:30 at Anfield. Our prediction for Liverpool vs Arsenal is Arsenal to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

Liverpool form

Liverpool have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Arsenal form

Arsenal have 15 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 14 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Liverpool won 0, Arsenal won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Arsenal 0, Liverpool 0.

Our call

We expect Liverpool to score about 1.2 goals and Arsenal about 1.5. That points to Arsenal to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3. Our bold bet is Arsenal to win and Over 2.5 at 11/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Liverpool	Arsenal
Games played	20	20
Wins	10	15
Draws	5	3
Losses	5	2
Goals scored	37	33
Goals conceded	31	14
Scored per game	1.9	1.6
Conceded per game	1.6	0.7
Home record	5W 4D 2L	8W 0D 0L
Away record	5W 1D 3L	7W 3D 2L
Clean sheets	20%	55%
Both teams scored	65%	40%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Liverpool to win	28%	13/5	11/5	-11.0%
A Draw	26%	11/4	5/2	-7.2%
Arsenal to win	44%	5/4	11/10	-7.8%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	Evens	8/11	-14.7%
Under 2.5 goals	46%	6/5	21/20	-6.3%
Liverpool +0.5	51%	Evens	4/6	-15.5%
Arsenal -0.5	45%	5/4	10/11	-12.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	75%	1/3
Over 2.5 goals	50%	Evens
Over 3.5 goals	28%	13/5
Both teams to score	54%	5/6
Liverpool or Draw	56%	4/5
Arsenal or Draw	71%	2/5
Liverpool to win and Over 2.5	17%	5/1
Arsenal to win and Over 2.5	27%	11/4
Liverpool clean sheet	22%	7/2
Arsenal clean sheet	31%	11/5

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.9%

0-19.7%

1-29.1%

0-27.8%

0-07.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Champions League

Rice Supports Kane For Ballon d'Or Glory

Declan Rice says England teammate Harry Kane deserves to win the Ballon d'Or on Monday after another brilliant year.

10 hours ago

Champions League

Bukayo Saka Substituted Early in Arsenal Match at Bayern Munich

Arsenal winger Bukayo Saka went off with an apparent injury ten minutes into Wednesday's Champions League match against Bayern Munich.

23 hours ago

Premier League

Ronald Araújo Impresses at Liverpool as Loan Move Pays Off

Ronald Araújo is thriving on loan at Liverpool from Barcelona, scoring twice in 11 games while adapting to multiple defensive roles.

21 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Liverpool vs Arsenal?

Our prediction for Liverpool vs Arsenal is Arsenal to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

What is the score prediction for Liverpool vs Arsenal?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Liverpool to score 1.2 goals and Arsenal 1.5.

Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Arsenal?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Liverpool last 20 games and 8 of Arsenal last 20.

How are Liverpool playing?

How are Arsenal playing?

What happened when Liverpool and Arsenal last met?

It ended Arsenal 0, Liverpool 0. In the last 1 meeting Liverpool won 0 and Arsenal won 0.

What is the best bet for Liverpool vs Arsenal?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/3, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Liverpool against Arsenal. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.