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Predictions › Colombia › Llaneros FC vs América de Cali
Colombian Primera AMon 5 Oct, 01:15 Colombia time

Llaneros FC vs América de Cali prediction

Estadio Bello Horizonte - Rey Pele

Llaneros FCHome
0.93 : 1.05
expected goals
América de CaliAway
30%Llaneros FC
33%Draw
37%América Cali
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Llaneros FC vs América de Cali is América de Cali to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20.

Prediction
América de Cali to win
Chance
37%
Most likely score
0-0
Expected goals
Llaneros FC 0.9, América de Cali 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.20
Both teams to score
40%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0
15% chanceFair price 6.861 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Llaneros FC 30%, the draw 33% and América de Cali 37%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Llaneros FC took 3 points from their last 5 games and América de Cali took 8 from 5. América de Cali come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Llaneros FC won 3 of their last 8 games at home. América de Cali won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Llaneros FC score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.3. América de Cali score 1.6 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Llaneros FC games and 8 of América de Cali games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Llaneros FC won 0 and América de Cali won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended América de Cali 0, Llaneros FC 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Llaneros FCrecent form-1%
  • América Calirecent form+3%
  • Llaneros FCrest between games-5%
Llaneros FC form L W L L WAmérica Cali form W D L W WHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Llaneros FC vs América de Cali: América de Cali shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Llaneros FC host América de Cali in the Colombian Primera A on Mon 5 Oct, 01:15 at Estadio Bello Horizonte - Rey Pele. Our prediction for Llaneros FC vs América de Cali is América de Cali to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20.

Llaneros FC form

Llaneros FC have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

América de Cali form

América de Cali have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Llaneros FC won 0, América de Cali won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished América de Cali 0, Llaneros FC 0.

Our call

We expect Llaneros FC to score about 0.9 goals and América de Cali about 1.1. That points to América de Cali to win, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 6.86.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Llaneros FCAmérica Cali
Games played2020
Wins511
Draws74
Losses85
Goals scored1932
Goals conceded2518
Scored per game0.91.6
Conceded per game1.30.9
Home record3W 3D 2L8W 1D 1L
Away record2W 4D 6L3W 3D 4L
Clean sheets30%45%
Both teams scored50%35%
Over 2.5 goals35%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals60%1.67
Over 2.5 goals32%3.14
Over 3.5 goals14%7.16
Both teams to score40%2.49
Llaneros FC or Draw63%1.59
América de Cali or Draw70%1.44
Llaneros FC to win and Over 2.512%8.01
América de Cali to win and Over 2.516%6.37
Llaneros FC clean sheet35%2.87
América de Cali clean sheet40%2.53

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-014.6%
1-114.3%
0-113.7%
1-012.0%
0-27.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Llaneros FC vs América de Cali?

Our prediction for Llaneros FC vs América de Cali is América de Cali to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Llaneros FC vs América de Cali?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-1. We expect Llaneros FC to score 0.9 goals and América de Cali 1.1.

Will both teams score in Llaneros FC vs América de Cali?

Both teams to score has a 40% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Llaneros FC last 20 games and 7 of América de Cali last 20.

How are Llaneros FC playing?

Llaneros FC have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are América de Cali playing?

América de Cali have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Llaneros FC and América de Cali last met?

It ended América de Cali 0, Llaneros FC 0. In the last 1 meeting Llaneros FC won 0 and América de Cali won 0.

What is the best bet for Llaneros FC vs América de Cali?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.20, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Llaneros FC against América Cali. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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