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Predictions › Colombia › Llaneros FC vs Atlético Junior
Colombian Primera ASat 31 Oct, 23:00 Colombia time

Llaneros FC vs Atlético Junior prediction

Estadio Bello Horizonte - Rey Pele

Llaneros FCHome
1.13 : 1.17
expected goals
Atlético JuniorAway
34%Llaneros FC
30%Draw
36%Atl. Junior
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for Llaneros FC vs Atlético Junior is Atlético Junior to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

Prediction
Atlético Junior to win
Chance
36%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Llaneros FC 1.1, Atlético Junior 1.2
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.26
Both teams to score
48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.262 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.121 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Llaneros FC 34%, the draw 30% and Atlético Junior 36%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Llaneros FC took 6 points from their last 5 games and Atlético Junior took 3 from 5. Llaneros FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Llaneros FC won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Atlético Junior won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Llaneros FC score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.2. Atlético Junior score 1.4 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Llaneros FC games and 10 of Atlético Junior games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Llaneros FC won 0 and Atlético Junior won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Atlético Junior 2, Llaneros FC 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Llaneros FCrecent form-6%
  • Atl. Juniorrecent form-3%
  • Atl. Juniorrest between games-2%
Llaneros FC form D L L L LAtl. Junior form D D D L LHome edge in this league 38% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Llaneros FC vs Atlético Junior: Atlético Junior shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Llaneros FC host Atlético Junior in the Colombian Primera A on Sat 31 Oct, 23:00 at Estadio Bello Horizonte - Rey Pele. Our prediction for Llaneros FC vs Atlético Junior is Atlético Junior to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

Llaneros FC form

Llaneros FC have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Atlético Junior form

Atlético Junior have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Llaneros FC won 0, Atlético Junior won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Atlético Junior 2, Llaneros FC 0.

Our call

We expect Llaneros FC to score about 1.1 goals and Atlético Junior about 1.2. That points to Atlético Junior to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.12.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Llaneros FCAtl. Junior
Games played2020
Wins64
Draws58
Losses98
Goals scored1927
Goals conceded2431
Scored per game0.91.4
Conceded per game1.21.6
Home record4W 2D 3L3W 6D 1L
Away record2W 3D 6L1W 2D 7L
Clean sheets30%20%
Both teams scored50%65%
Over 2.5 goals35%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals68%1.48
Over 2.5 goals40%2.47
Over 3.5 goals20%4.97
Both teams to score48%2.10
Llaneros FC or Draw64%1.56
Atlético Junior or Draw66%1.52
Llaneros FC to win and Over 2.517%5.82
Atlético Junior to win and Over 2.518%5.50
Llaneros FC clean sheet31%3.22
Atlético Junior clean sheet32%3.10

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.0%
0-110.9%
0-010.8%
1-010.5%
1-27.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Llaneros FC vs Atlético Junior?

Our prediction for Llaneros FC vs Atlético Junior is Atlético Junior to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Llaneros FC vs Atlético Junior?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Llaneros FC to score 1.1 goals and Atlético Junior 1.2.

Will both teams score in Llaneros FC vs Atlético Junior?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Llaneros FC last 20 games and 13 of Atlético Junior last 20.

How are Llaneros FC playing?

Llaneros FC have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Atlético Junior playing?

Atlético Junior have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Llaneros FC and Atlético Junior last met?

It ended Atlético Junior 2, Llaneros FC 0. In the last 1 meeting Llaneros FC won 0 and Atlético Junior won 1.

What is the best bet for Llaneros FC vs Atlético Junior?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Llaneros FC against Atl. Junior. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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