Predictions › Colombia › Llaneros FC vs Boyacá Chicó FC

Colombian Primera ASun 8 Nov, 20:30 Colombia time

Llaneros FC vs Boyacá Chicó FC prediction

Estadio Bello Horizonte - Rey Pele

Llaneros FCHome

1.69 : 0.53

expected goals

Boyacá Chicó FCAway

65%Llaneros FC

24%Draw

11%Chicó FC

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Llaneros FC vs Boyacá Chicó FC is Llaneros FC to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.23.

Prediction: Llaneros FC to win
Chance: 65%
Most likely score: 1-0
Expected goals: Llaneros FC 1.7, Boyacá Chicó FC 0.5
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.23
Both teams to score: 34%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

82% chanceFair price 1.232 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Llaneros FC to win and Over 2.5

31% chanceFair price 3.191 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Llaneros FC 65%, the draw 24% and Boyacá Chicó FC 11%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Llaneros FC took 3 points from their last 5 games and Boyacá Chicó FC took 4 from 5. Boyacá Chicó FC come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Llaneros FC won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Boyacá Chicó FC won 0 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Llaneros FC score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.4. Boyacá Chicó FC score 0.8 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Llaneros FC games and 9 of Boyacá Chicó FC games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Llaneros FC won 0 and Boyacá Chicó FC won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Boyacá Chicó FC 3, Llaneros FC 0.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Llaneros FCrecent form-3%
Chicó FCrecent form-3%
Chicó FCrest between games-5%

Llaneros FC form D L W L LChicó FC form D W L L LHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Llaneros FC vs Boyacá Chicó FC: Llaneros FC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Llaneros FC host Boyacá Chicó FC in the Colombian Primera A on Sun 8 Nov, 20:30 at Estadio Bello Horizonte - Rey Pele. Our prediction for Llaneros FC vs Boyacá Chicó FC is Llaneros FC to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.23.

Llaneros FC form

Llaneros FC have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Boyacá Chicó FC form

Boyacá Chicó FC have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Llaneros FC won 0, Boyacá Chicó FC won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Boyacá Chicó FC 3, Llaneros FC 0.

Our call

We expect Llaneros FC to score about 1.7 goals and Boyacá Chicó FC about 0.5. That points to Llaneros FC to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.23. Our bold bet is Llaneros FC to win and Over 2.5 at 3.19.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Llaneros FC	Chicó FC
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	6
Draws	4	4
Losses	11	10
Goals scored	17	17
Goals conceded	27	32
Scored per game	0.8	0.8
Conceded per game	1.4	1.6
Home record	4W 1D 4L	6W 2D 3L
Away record	1W 3D 7L	0W 2D 7L
Clean sheets	25%	35%
Both teams scored	45%	25%
Over 2.5 goals	40%	45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	66%	1.52
Over 2.5 goals	38%	2.62
Over 3.5 goals	18%	5.42
Both teams to score	34%	2.94
Llaneros FC or Draw	89%	1.12
Boyacá Chicó FC or Draw	35%	2.88
Llaneros FC to win and Over 2.5	32%	3.13
Boyacá Chicó FC to win and Over 2.5	4%	25.93
Llaneros FC clean sheet	59%	1.70
Boyacá Chicó FC clean sheet	18%	5.42

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-017.8%

2-015.5%

0-011.5%

1-110.3%

3-08.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Llaneros FC vs Boyacá Chicó FC?

Our prediction for Llaneros FC vs Boyacá Chicó FC is Llaneros FC to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Llaneros FC vs Boyacá Chicó FC?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 0-0. We expect Llaneros FC to score 1.7 goals and Boyacá Chicó FC 0.5.

Will both teams score in Llaneros FC vs Boyacá Chicó FC?

Both teams to score has a 34% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Llaneros FC last 20 games and 5 of Boyacá Chicó FC last 20.

How are Llaneros FC playing?

How are Boyacá Chicó FC playing?

What happened when Llaneros FC and Boyacá Chicó FC last met?

It ended Boyacá Chicó FC 3, Llaneros FC 0. In the last 1 meeting Llaneros FC won 0 and Boyacá Chicó FC won 1.

What is the best bet for Llaneros FC vs Boyacá Chicó FC?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.23, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Llaneros FC against Chicó FC. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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