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Predictions › Colombia › Llaneros FC vs Deportivo Cali
Colombian Primera AWed 21 Oct, 23:15 Colombia time

Llaneros FC vs Deportivo Cali prediction

Estadio Bello Horizonte - Rey Pele

Llaneros FCHome
0.81 : 1.09
expected goals
Deportivo CaliAway
26%Llaneros FC
33%Draw
41%Cali
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Llaneros FC vs Deportivo Cali is Deportivo Cali to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17.

Prediction
Deportivo Cali to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
0-0
Expected goals
Llaneros FC 0.8, Deportivo Cali 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.17
Both teams to score
38%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.172 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0
16% chanceFair price 6.361 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Llaneros FC 26%, the draw 33% and Deportivo Cali 41%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Llaneros FC took 3 points from their last 5 games and Deportivo Cali took 13 from 5. Deportivo Cali come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Llaneros FC won 3 of their last 8 games at home. Deportivo Cali won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Llaneros FC score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.2. Deportivo Cali score 1.3 and let in 0.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Llaneros FC games and 6 of Deportivo Cali games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Llaneros FC won 0 and Deportivo Cali won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Deportivo Cali 1, Llaneros FC 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Llaneros FCrecent form-3%
  • Calirecent form+6%
  • Llaneros FCrest between games-2%
  • Calirest between games-5%
Llaneros FC form D L L W LCali form D W W W WHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Llaneros FC vs Deportivo Cali: Deportivo Cali shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Llaneros FC host Deportivo Cali in the Colombian Primera A on Wed 21 Oct, 23:15 at Estadio Bello Horizonte - Rey Pele. Our prediction for Llaneros FC vs Deportivo Cali is Deportivo Cali to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17.

Llaneros FC form

Llaneros FC have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Deportivo Cali form

Deportivo Cali have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 14 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Llaneros FC won 0, Deportivo Cali won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Deportivo Cali 1, Llaneros FC 1.

Our call

We expect Llaneros FC to score about 0.8 goals and Deportivo Cali about 1.1. That points to Deportivo Cali to win, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 6.36.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Llaneros FCCali
Games played2020
Wins510
Draws66
Losses94
Goals scored1826
Goals conceded2414
Scored per game0.91.3
Conceded per game1.20.7
Home record3W 2D 3L6W 3D 0L
Away record2W 4D 6L4W 3D 4L
Clean sheets30%40%
Both teams scored50%45%
Over 2.5 goals35%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals57%1.74
Over 2.5 goals30%3.37
Over 3.5 goals13%7.96
Both teams to score38%2.66
Llaneros FC or Draw59%1.70
Deportivo Cali or Draw74%1.35
Llaneros FC to win and Over 2.510%10.22
Deportivo Cali to win and Over 2.517%5.99
Llaneros FC clean sheet33%2.99
Deportivo Cali clean sheet45%2.24

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-015.7%
0-115.5%
1-114.0%
1-011.3%
0-28.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Llaneros FC vs Deportivo Cali?

Our prediction for Llaneros FC vs Deportivo Cali is Deportivo Cali to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Llaneros FC vs Deportivo Cali?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-1. We expect Llaneros FC to score 0.8 goals and Deportivo Cali 1.1.

Will both teams score in Llaneros FC vs Deportivo Cali?

Both teams to score has a 38% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Llaneros FC last 20 games and 9 of Deportivo Cali last 20.

How are Llaneros FC playing?

Llaneros FC have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Deportivo Cali playing?

Deportivo Cali have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 14 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Llaneros FC and Deportivo Cali last met?

It ended Deportivo Cali 1, Llaneros FC 1. In the last 1 meeting Llaneros FC won 0 and Deportivo Cali won 0.

What is the best bet for Llaneros FC vs Deportivo Cali?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.17, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Llaneros FC against Cali. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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