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Predictions › Colombia › Llaneros FC vs Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera ASun 18 Oct, 23:05 Colombia time

Llaneros FC vs Independiente Santa Fe prediction

Estadio Bello Horizonte - Rey Pele

Llaneros FCHome
0.86 : 1.42
expected goals
Independiente Santa FeAway
22%Llaneros FC
29%Draw
50%Santa Fe
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Llaneros FC vs Independiente Santa Fe is Independiente Santa Fe to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction
Independiente Santa Fe to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
0-1
Expected goals
Llaneros FC 0.9, Independiente Santa Fe 1.4
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score
44%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 1.282 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-1
14% chanceFair price 7.241 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Llaneros FC 22%, the draw 29% and Independiente Santa Fe 50%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Llaneros FC took 3 points from their last 5 games and Independiente Santa Fe took 12 from 5. Independiente Santa Fe come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Llaneros FC won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Independiente Santa Fe won 4 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Llaneros FC score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.3. Independiente Santa Fe score 1.6 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Llaneros FC games and 9 of Independiente Santa Fe games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Llaneros FC won 2 and Independiente Santa Fe won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Independiente Santa Fe 0, Llaneros FC 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Llaneros FCrecent form-4%
  • Santa Ferecent form+3%
Llaneros FC form L L W L LSanta Fe form W W D L WHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Llaneros FC vs Independiente Santa Fe: Independiente Santa Fe are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Llaneros FC host Independiente Santa Fe in the Colombian Primera A on Sun 18 Oct, 23:05 at Estadio Bello Horizonte - Rey Pele. Our prediction for Llaneros FC vs Independiente Santa Fe is Independiente Santa Fe to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

Llaneros FC form

Llaneros FC have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Independiente Santa Fe form

Independiente Santa Fe have 10 wins, 8 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Llaneros FC won 2, Independiente Santa Fe won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Independiente Santa Fe 0, Llaneros FC 1.

Our call

We expect Llaneros FC to score about 0.9 goals and Independiente Santa Fe about 1.4. That points to Independiente Santa Fe to win, with 0-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-1 at 7.24.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Llaneros FCSanta Fe
Games played2020
Wins510
Draws78
Losses82
Goals scored2032
Goals conceded2517
Scored per game1.01.6
Conceded per game1.30.8
Home record3W 3D 3L6W 5D 1L
Away record2W 4D 5L4W 3D 1L
Clean sheets30%35%
Both teams scored55%60%
Over 2.5 goals40%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals67%1.49
Over 2.5 goals40%2.51
Over 3.5 goals20%5.09
Both teams to score44%2.25
Llaneros FC or Draw50%1.98
Independiente Santa Fe or Draw78%1.28
Llaneros FC to win and Over 2.510%9.88
Independiente Santa Fe to win and Over 2.525%3.94
Llaneros FC clean sheet24%4.15
Independiente Santa Fe clean sheet42%2.36

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-113.8%
1-113.2%
0-011.0%
0-210.4%
1-28.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Llaneros FC vs Independiente Santa Fe?

Our prediction for Llaneros FC vs Independiente Santa Fe is Independiente Santa Fe to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Llaneros FC vs Independiente Santa Fe?

0-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect Llaneros FC to score 0.9 goals and Independiente Santa Fe 1.4.

Will both teams score in Llaneros FC vs Independiente Santa Fe?

Both teams to score has a 44% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Llaneros FC last 20 games and 12 of Independiente Santa Fe last 20.

How are Llaneros FC playing?

Llaneros FC have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Independiente Santa Fe playing?

Independiente Santa Fe have 10 wins, 8 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Llaneros FC and Independiente Santa Fe last met?

It ended Independiente Santa Fe 0, Llaneros FC 1. In the last 2 meetings Llaneros FC won 2 and Independiente Santa Fe won 0.

What is the best bet for Llaneros FC vs Independiente Santa Fe?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Llaneros FC against Santa Fe. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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