Predictions › France › Lorient vs Stade Rennais

Ligue 1Sun 22 Nov, 16:15 France time

Lorient vs Stade Rennais prediction

Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat

LorientHome

1.53 : 1.47

expected goals

Stade RennaisAway

38%Lorient

26%Draw

36%Rennes

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for Lorient vs Stade Rennais is Lorient to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

Prediction: Lorient to win
Chance: 38%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Lorient 1.5, Stade Rennais 1.5
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.24
Both teams to score: 61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

80% chanceFair price 1.242 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Lorient to win

37% chancePrice 2.75+2.8% value1 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Lorient 38%, the draw 26% and Stade Rennais 36%. The bookmakers see it the other way and make Stade Rennais the favourite at 2.45, so take care with this one.
2
Recent form
Lorient took 10 points from their last 5 games and Stade Rennais took 5 from 5. Lorient come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Lorient won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Stade Rennais won 2 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Lorient score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.1. Stade Rennais score 1.9 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Lorient games and 17 of Stade Rennais games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Lorient won 1 and Stade Rennais won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Stade Rennais 0, Lorient 2.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Lorientrecent form+3%
Rennesrecent form-1%

Lorient form W L D W WRennes form L D L W DHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Lorient vs Stade Rennais: Lorient shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Lorient host Stade Rennais in the Ligue 1 on Sun 22 Nov, 16:15 at Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat. Our prediction for Lorient vs Stade Rennais is Lorient to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

Lorient form

Lorient have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, W, newest first.

Stade Rennais form

Stade Rennais have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Lorient won 1, Stade Rennais won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Stade Rennais 0, Lorient 2.

Our call

We expect Lorient to score about 1.5 goals and Stade Rennais about 1.5. That points to Lorient to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24. Our bold bet is Lorient to win at 2.75.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Lorient	Rennes
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	10
Draws	6	4
Losses	7	6
Goals scored	23	37
Goals conceded	21	34
Scored per game	1.1	1.9
Conceded per game	1.1	1.7
Home record	4W 2D 4L	8W 2D 1L
Away record	3W 4D 3L	2W 2D 5L
Clean sheets	40%	25%
Both teams scored	40%	70%
Over 2.5 goals	35%	85%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Lorient to win	37%	2.67	2.75	+2.8%
A Draw	25%	3.99	3.40	-14.9%
Stade Rennais to win	35%	2.84	2.45	-13.8%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	2.01	1.77	-12.1%
Under 2.5 goals	44%	2.30	1.95	-15.0%
Lorient +0.5	56%	1.79	1.53	-14.7%
Stade Rennais -0.5	38%	2.63	2.25	-14.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	81%	1.24
Over 2.5 goals	58%	1.73
Over 3.5 goals	35%	2.83
Both teams to score	61%	1.64
Lorient or Draw	64%	1.56
Stade Rennais or Draw	62%	1.62
Lorient to win and Over 2.5	26%	3.90
Stade Rennais to win and Over 2.5	24%	4.18
Lorient clean sheet	23%	4.36
Stade Rennais clean sheet	22%	4.61

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.9%

2-18.6%

1-28.2%

1-06.9%

0-16.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Premier League

Man United Eye Left Back Nagida as Liverpool Search for Future Keeper

Manchester United are tracking Rennes defender Mahamadou Nagida, while Liverpool monitor Brighton goalkeeper Bart Verbruggen.

8 Nov 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Lorient vs Stade Rennais?

Our prediction for Lorient vs Stade Rennais is Lorient to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for Lorient vs Stade Rennais?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Lorient to score 1.5 goals and Stade Rennais 1.5.

Will both teams score in Lorient vs Stade Rennais?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Lorient last 20 games and 14 of Stade Rennais last 20.

How are Lorient playing?

How are Stade Rennais playing?

What happened when Lorient and Stade Rennais last met?

It ended Stade Rennais 0, Lorient 2. In the last 1 meeting Lorient won 1 and Stade Rennais won 0.

What is the best bet for Lorient vs Stade Rennais?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.24, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Lorient against Rennes. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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