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Predictions › United States › Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners
MLBFri 25 Sept, 22:10 United States time

Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners prediction

T-Mobile Park

Los Angeles AngelsAway
4.4 : 4.1
projected runs
Seattle MarinersHome
55%Angels
45%Mariners
Eagle safe pickMariners +2.5
-254

Quick answer

Our prediction for Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners is Los Angeles Angels to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Los Angeles Angels 4.4 and Seattle Mariners 4.1. Our best bet is Mariners +2.5 at -254.

Prediction
Los Angeles Angels to win
Chance
55%
Projected score
Los Angeles Angels 4, Seattle Mariners 4
Projected total
8.6 runs
Best bet
Mariners +2.5 at -254

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Mariners +2.5
72% chanceFair price -2541 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Mariners to win
45% chanceFair price +1241 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Seattle Mariners 45% and Los Angeles Angels 55%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Seattle Mariners won 2 of their last 5 and Los Angeles Angels won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Seattle Mariners won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Los Angeles Angels won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Seattle Mariners score 5.2 runs a game and let in 5.1. Los Angeles Angels score 3.8 and let in 4.1. Their recent games average 10.3 and 7.9 runs in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Seattle Mariners won 3 and Los Angeles Angels won 2. The last one ended Los Angeles Angels 6, Seattle Mariners 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Mariners +2.5 has a 72% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Marinersrest between games-5%
  • Angelsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners: Los Angeles Angels shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Seattle Mariners host Los Angeles Angels in the MLB on Fri 25 Sept, 22:10 at T-Mobile Park. Our prediction for Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners is Los Angeles Angels to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Los Angeles Angels 4.4 and Seattle Mariners 4.1. Our best bet is Mariners +2.5 at -254.

Seattle Mariners form

Seattle Mariners have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 103 runs scored and 102 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Los Angeles Angels form

Los Angeles Angels have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 76 runs scored and 82 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Seattle Mariners won 3, Los Angeles Angels won 2. Last time out it finished Los Angeles Angels 6, Seattle Mariners 4.

Our call

We expect Los Angeles Angels to score about 4.4 runs and Seattle Mariners about 4.1. That points to Los Angeles Angels to win. Our safest bet is Mariners +2.5 at -254. Our bold bet is Mariners to win at +124.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MarinersAngels
Games played2020
Wins85
Losses1215
Runs scored10376
Runs conceded10282
Scored per game5.23.8
Conceded per game5.14.1
Home record5W 5L2W 8L
Away record3W 7L3W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Mariners spreadCoversFair
Mariners -1.534%+198
Mariners -0.543%+135
Mariners +0.552%-108
Mariners +1.561%-159
Mariners +2.570%-234
Total runsOverUnder
6.568%32%
7.559%41%
8.550%50%
9.541%59%
10.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Mariners +3.5 wins if Mariners win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners?

Our prediction for Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners is Los Angeles Angels to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Los Angeles Angels 4.4 and Seattle Mariners 4.1. Our best bet is Mariners +2.5 at -254.

What is the projected score for Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners?

We project Los Angeles Angels 4.4 and Seattle Mariners 4.1, about 8.6 runs in total.

How are Seattle Mariners playing?

Seattle Mariners have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 103 runs scored and 102 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Los Angeles Angels playing?

Los Angeles Angels have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 76 runs scored and 82 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Seattle Mariners and Los Angeles Angels last met?

It ended Los Angeles Angels 6, Seattle Mariners 4. In the last 5 meetings Seattle Mariners won 3 and Los Angeles Angels won 2.

What is the best bet for Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners?

Mariners +2.5 at -254, with a 72% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Mariners against Angels. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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