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Predictions › United States › Los Angeles Kings vs Colorado Avalanche
NHLWed 30 Sept, 22:00 United States time

Los Angeles Kings vs Colorado Avalanche prediction

Ball Arena

Los Angeles KingsAway
2.4 : 3.1
projected goals
Colorado AvalancheHome
39%Kings
61%Avalanche
Eagle safe pickKings +1.5
-170

Quick answer

Our prediction for Los Angeles Kings vs Colorado Avalanche is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 61% chance. We project Los Angeles Kings 2.4 and Colorado Avalanche 3.1. Our best bet is Kings +1.5 at -170.

Prediction
Colorado Avalanche to win
Chance
61%
Projected score
Los Angeles Kings 2, Colorado Avalanche 3
Projected total
5.5 goals
Best bet
Kings +1.5 at -170

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Kings +1.5
61% chancePrice -1701 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Colorado Avalanche 61% and Los Angeles Kings 39%. The bookmakers agree and make Colorado Avalanche the favourite at -180.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Colorado Avalanche won 2 of their last 5 and Los Angeles Kings won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Colorado Avalanche won 8 of their last 10 games at home. Los Angeles Kings won 3 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Colorado Avalanche score 3.0 goals a game and let in 2.4. Los Angeles Kings score 2.8 and let in 3.0. Their recent games average 5.4 and 5.8 goals in total, and the market line is 5.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Colorado Avalanche won 5 and Los Angeles Kings won 0. The last one ended Los Angeles Kings 1, Colorado Avalanche 5.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Kings +1.5 has a 61% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Avalancherest between games-5%
  • Kingsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Los Angeles Kings vs Colorado Avalanche: Colorado Avalanche are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Colorado Avalanche host Los Angeles Kings in the NHL on Wed 30 Sept, 22:00 at Ball Arena. Our prediction for Los Angeles Kings vs Colorado Avalanche is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 61% chance. We project Los Angeles Kings 2.4 and Colorado Avalanche 3.1. Our best bet is Kings +1.5 at -170.

Colorado Avalanche form

Colorado Avalanche have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 47 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Los Angeles Kings form

Los Angeles Kings have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 56 goals scored and 60 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Colorado Avalanche won 5, Los Angeles Kings won 0. Last time out it finished Los Angeles Kings 1, Colorado Avalanche 5.

Our call

We expect Los Angeles Kings to score about 2.4 goals and Colorado Avalanche about 3.1. That points to Colorado Avalanche to win. Our safest bet is Kings +1.5 at -170.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AvalancheKings
Games played2020
Wins139
Losses711
Goals scored6156
Goals conceded4760
Scored per game3.02.8
Conceded per game2.43.0
Home record8W 2L6W 6L
Away record5W 5L3W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Avalanche to win61%-154-180-5.6%
Kings to win35%+185+150-12.3%
Avalanche -1.535%+186+142-15.3%
Kings +1.561%-156-170-3.3%
Over 5.5 goals48%+110-118-12.2%
Under 5.5 goals46%+116-102-8.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Avalanche spreadCoversFair
Avalanche -1.538%+167
Avalanche -0.554%-117
Avalanche +0.570%-230
Total goalsOverUnder
4.567%33%
5.551%49%
6.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Avalanche +3.5 wins if Avalanche win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Los Angeles Kings vs Colorado Avalanche?

Our prediction for Los Angeles Kings vs Colorado Avalanche is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 61% chance. We project Los Angeles Kings 2.4 and Colorado Avalanche 3.1. Our best bet is Kings +1.5 at -170.

What is the projected score for Los Angeles Kings vs Colorado Avalanche?

We project Los Angeles Kings 2.4 and Colorado Avalanche 3.1, about 5.5 goals in total.

How are Colorado Avalanche playing?

Colorado Avalanche have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 47 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Los Angeles Kings playing?

Los Angeles Kings have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 56 goals scored and 60 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Colorado Avalanche and Los Angeles Kings last met?

It ended Los Angeles Kings 1, Colorado Avalanche 5. In the last 5 meetings Colorado Avalanche won 5 and Los Angeles Kings won 0.

What is the best bet for Los Angeles Kings vs Colorado Avalanche?

Kings +1.5 at -170, with a 61% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Avalanche against Kings. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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