Predictions › United States › Los Angeles Kings vs Ottawa Senators
NHLSat 21 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Los Angeles Kings vs Ottawa Senators prediction

Canadian Tire Centre

Los Angeles KingsAway
2.6 : 3.0
projected goals
Ottawa SenatorsHome
48%Kings
52%Senators
Eagle safe pickOver 4 goals
-395

Quick answer

Our prediction for Los Angeles Kings vs Ottawa Senators is Ottawa Senators to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Los Angeles Kings 2.6 and Ottawa Senators 3.0. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -395.

Prediction
Ottawa Senators to win
Chance
52%
Projected score
Los Angeles Kings 3, Ottawa Senators 3
Projected total
5.7 goals
Best bet
Over 4 goals at -395

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 4 goals
80% chanceFair price -3952 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Kings to win
41% chanceFair price +1441 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Ottawa Senators 52% and Los Angeles Kings 48%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Ottawa Senators won 3 of their last 5 and Los Angeles Kings won 2 of their last 5. Ottawa Senators come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Ottawa Senators won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Los Angeles Kings won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Ottawa Senators score 3.2 goals a game and let in 3.0. Los Angeles Kings score 2.9 and let in 3.4. Their recent games average 6.2 and 6.3 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Ottawa Senators won 0 and Los Angeles Kings won 3. The last one ended Los Angeles Kings 6, Ottawa Senators 5.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 4 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Senatorsrest between games-5%
  • Kingsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Los Angeles Kings vs Ottawa Senators: Ottawa Senators shade it

The big picture

Ottawa Senators host Los Angeles Kings in the NHL on Sat 21 Nov, 19:00 at Canadian Tire Centre. Our prediction for Los Angeles Kings vs Ottawa Senators is Ottawa Senators to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Los Angeles Kings 2.6 and Ottawa Senators 3.0. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -395.

Ottawa Senators form

Ottawa Senators have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 64 goals scored and 60 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Los Angeles Kings form

Los Angeles Kings have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 58 goals scored and 68 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Ottawa Senators won 0, Los Angeles Kings won 3. Last time out it finished Los Angeles Kings 6, Ottawa Senators 5.

Our call

We expect Los Angeles Kings to score about 2.6 goals and Ottawa Senators about 3.0. That points to Ottawa Senators to win. Our safest bet is Over 4 goals at -395. Our bold bet is Kings to win at +144.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SenatorsKings
Games played2020
Wins127
Losses813
Goals scored6458
Goals conceded6068
Scored per game3.22.9
Conceded per game3.03.4
Home record7W 3L3W 8L
Away record5W 5L4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Senators spreadCoversFair
Senators -1.532%+212
Senators -0.548%+108
Senators +0.564%-180
Total goalsOverUnder
4.569%31%
5.553%47%
6.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Senators +3.5 wins if Senators win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Los Angeles Kings vs Ottawa Senators?

Our prediction for Los Angeles Kings vs Ottawa Senators is Ottawa Senators to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Los Angeles Kings 2.6 and Ottawa Senators 3.0. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -395.

What is the projected score for Los Angeles Kings vs Ottawa Senators?

We project Los Angeles Kings 2.6 and Ottawa Senators 3.0, about 5.7 goals in total.

How are Ottawa Senators playing?

Ottawa Senators have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 64 goals scored and 60 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Los Angeles Kings playing?

Los Angeles Kings have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 58 goals scored and 68 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Ottawa Senators and Los Angeles Kings last met?

It ended Los Angeles Kings 6, Ottawa Senators 5. In the last 3 meetings Ottawa Senators won 0 and Los Angeles Kings won 3.

What is the best bet for Los Angeles Kings vs Ottawa Senators?

Over 4 goals at -395, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Senators against Kings. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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