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Predictions › United States › Los Angeles Kings vs Toronto Maple Leafs
NHLThu 19 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Los Angeles Kings vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction

Scotiabank Arena

Los Angeles KingsAway
3.2 : 2.8
projected goals
Toronto Maple LeafsHome
59%Kings
41%Maple Leafs
Eagle safe pickOver 4 goals
-518

Quick answer

Our prediction for Los Angeles Kings vs Toronto Maple Leafs is Los Angeles Kings to win, with a 59% chance. We project Los Angeles Kings 3.2 and Toronto Maple Leafs 2.8. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -518.

Prediction
Los Angeles Kings to win
Chance
59%
Projected score
Los Angeles Kings 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Projected total
6.0 goals
Best bet
Over 4 goals at -518

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 4 goals
84% chanceFair price -5182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Maple Leafs to win
41% chanceFair price +1461 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Toronto Maple Leafs 41% and Los Angeles Kings 59%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Toronto Maple Leafs won 1 of their last 5 and Los Angeles Kings won 2 of their last 5. Los Angeles Kings come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Toronto Maple Leafs won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Los Angeles Kings won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Toronto Maple Leafs score 3.4 goals a game and let in 3.3. Los Angeles Kings score 3.0 and let in 3.5. Their recent games average 6.7 and 6.5 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Toronto Maple Leafs won 0 and Los Angeles Kings won 2. The last one ended Los Angeles Kings 7, Toronto Maple Leafs 6.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 4 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Maple Leafsrest between games-5%
  • Kingsrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Los Angeles Kings vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Los Angeles Kings are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Toronto Maple Leafs host Los Angeles Kings in the NHL on Thu 19 Nov, 19:00 at Scotiabank Arena. Our prediction for Los Angeles Kings vs Toronto Maple Leafs is Los Angeles Kings to win, with a 59% chance. We project Los Angeles Kings 3.2 and Toronto Maple Leafs 2.8. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -518.

Toronto Maple Leafs form

Toronto Maple Leafs have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 68 goals scored and 66 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Los Angeles Kings form

Los Angeles Kings have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 59 goals scored and 70 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Toronto Maple Leafs won 0, Los Angeles Kings won 2. Last time out it finished Los Angeles Kings 7, Toronto Maple Leafs 6.

Our call

We expect Los Angeles Kings to score about 3.2 goals and Toronto Maple Leafs about 2.8. That points to Los Angeles Kings to win. Our safest bet is Over 4 goals at -518. Our bold bet is Maple Leafs to win at +146.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Maple LeafsKings
Games played2020
Wins97
Losses1113
Goals scored6859
Goals conceded6670
Scored per game3.43.0
Conceded per game3.33.5
Home record4W 7L3W 8L
Away record5W 4L4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Maple Leafs spreadCoversFair
Maple Leafs -0.535%+184
Maple Leafs +0.551%-106
Maple Leafs +1.568%-208
Total goalsOverUnder
4.574%26%
5.558%42%
6.541%59%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Maple Leafs +3.5 wins if Maple Leafs win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NHL

Ottawa Forward Hayden Hodgson Handed Two Game Suspension

Ottawa Senators forward Hayden Hodgson has received a two game ban for boarding Los Angeles Kings defenseman Brandt Clarke.

31 Oct 2026
NHL

Hayden Hodgson Ejected as Kings Edge Senators 6-5

Hayden Hodgson was ejected for boarding Brandt Clarke, and the Kings survived an Ottawa comeback to win 6-5.

30 Oct 2026
NHL

Los Angeles Kings Earn First Victory of Season Against Washington

The Los Angeles Kings picked up their first win of the season by defeating the Washington Capitals 5-2 on Tuesday night.

21 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Los Angeles Kings vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

Our prediction for Los Angeles Kings vs Toronto Maple Leafs is Los Angeles Kings to win, with a 59% chance. We project Los Angeles Kings 3.2 and Toronto Maple Leafs 2.8. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -518.

What is the projected score for Los Angeles Kings vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

We project Los Angeles Kings 3.2 and Toronto Maple Leafs 2.8, about 6.0 goals in total.

How are Toronto Maple Leafs playing?

Toronto Maple Leafs have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 68 goals scored and 66 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Los Angeles Kings playing?

Los Angeles Kings have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 59 goals scored and 70 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Toronto Maple Leafs and Los Angeles Kings last met?

It ended Los Angeles Kings 7, Toronto Maple Leafs 6. In the last 2 meetings Toronto Maple Leafs won 0 and Los Angeles Kings won 2.

What is the best bet for Los Angeles Kings vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

Over 4 goals at -518, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Maple Leafs against Kings. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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