Predictions › United States › Los Angeles Lakers vs Atlanta Hawks
NBAMon 9 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Los Angeles Lakers vs Atlanta Hawks prediction

State Farm Arena

Los Angeles LakersAway
114.6 : 114.3
projected points
Atlanta HawksHome
54%Lakers
46%Hawks
Eagle safe pickHawks +8.5
-308

Quick answer

Our prediction for Los Angeles Lakers vs Atlanta Hawks is Los Angeles Lakers to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Los Angeles Lakers 114.6 and Atlanta Hawks 114.3. Our best bet is Hawks +8.5 at -308.

Prediction
Los Angeles Lakers to win
Chance
54%
Projected score
Los Angeles Lakers 115, Atlanta Hawks 114
Projected total
229.0 points
Best bet
Hawks +8.5 at -308

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Hawks +8.5
75% chanceFair price -3082 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Atlanta Hawks 46% and Los Angeles Lakers 54%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Atlanta Hawks won 2 of their last 5 and Los Angeles Lakers won 4 of their last 5. Los Angeles Lakers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Atlanta Hawks won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Los Angeles Lakers won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Atlanta Hawks score 114.3 points a game and let in 117.3. Los Angeles Lakers score 108.6 and let in 109.9. Their recent games average 231.7 and 218.5 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Atlanta Hawks won 1 and Los Angeles Lakers won 1. The last one ended Los Angeles Lakers 141, Atlanta Hawks 116.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Hawks +8.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Hawksrest between games-5%
  • Lakersrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Los Angeles Lakers vs Atlanta Hawks: Los Angeles Lakers shade it

The big picture

Atlanta Hawks host Los Angeles Lakers in the NBA on Mon 9 Nov, 19:00 at State Farm Arena. Our prediction for Los Angeles Lakers vs Atlanta Hawks is Los Angeles Lakers to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Los Angeles Lakers 114.6 and Atlanta Hawks 114.3. Our best bet is Hawks +8.5 at -308.

Atlanta Hawks form

Atlanta Hawks have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2287 points scored and 2347 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Los Angeles Lakers form

Los Angeles Lakers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2172 points scored and 2198 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Atlanta Hawks won 1, Los Angeles Lakers won 1. Last time out it finished Los Angeles Lakers 141, Atlanta Hawks 116.

Our call

We expect Los Angeles Lakers to score about 114.6 points and Atlanta Hawks about 114.3. That points to Los Angeles Lakers to win. Our safest bet is Hawks +8.5 at -308.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

HawksLakers
Games played2020
Wins1010
Losses1010
Points scored22872172
Points conceded23472198
Scored per game114.3108.6
Conceded per game117.3109.9
Home record4W 5L5W 6L
Away record6W 5L5W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Hawks spreadCoversFair
Hawks -5.532%+211
Hawks -2.541%+143
Hawks +0.551%-103
Hawks +3.560%-151
Hawks +6.569%-223
Total pointsOverUnder
222.564%36%
225.558%42%
228.551%49%
231.544%56%
234.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Hawks +3.5 wins if Hawks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Los Angeles Lakers vs Atlanta Hawks?

Our prediction for Los Angeles Lakers vs Atlanta Hawks is Los Angeles Lakers to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Los Angeles Lakers 114.6 and Atlanta Hawks 114.3. Our best bet is Hawks +8.5 at -308.

What is the projected score for Los Angeles Lakers vs Atlanta Hawks?

We project Los Angeles Lakers 114.6 and Atlanta Hawks 114.3, about 229.0 points in total.

How are Atlanta Hawks playing?

Atlanta Hawks have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2287 points scored and 2347 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Los Angeles Lakers playing?

Los Angeles Lakers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2172 points scored and 2198 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Atlanta Hawks and Los Angeles Lakers last met?

It ended Los Angeles Lakers 141, Atlanta Hawks 116. In the last 2 meetings Atlanta Hawks won 1 and Los Angeles Lakers won 1.

What is the best bet for Los Angeles Lakers vs Atlanta Hawks?

Hawks +8.5 at -308, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Hawks against Lakers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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