Predictions › United States › Los Angeles Lakers vs Sacramento Kings
NBAMon 5 Oct, 22:00 United States time

Los Angeles Lakers vs Sacramento Kings prediction

Golden 1 Center

Los Angeles LakersAway
117.8 : 111.9
projected points
Sacramento KingsHome
70%Lakers
30%Kings
Eagle safe pickLakers +2.5
-303

Quick answer

Our prediction for Los Angeles Lakers vs Sacramento Kings is Los Angeles Lakers to win, with a 70% chance. We project Los Angeles Lakers 117.8 and Sacramento Kings 111.9. Our best bet is Lakers +2.5 at -303.

Prediction
Los Angeles Lakers to win
Chance
70%
Projected score
Los Angeles Lakers 118, Sacramento Kings 112
Projected total
229.8 points
Best bet
Lakers +2.5 at -303

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Lakers +2.5
75% chanceFair price -3032 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Kings to win
30% chanceFair price +2341 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sacramento Kings 30% and Los Angeles Lakers 70%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sacramento Kings won 2 of their last 5 and Los Angeles Lakers won 1 of their last 5. Sacramento Kings come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sacramento Kings won 6 of their last 12 games at home. Los Angeles Lakers won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Sacramento Kings score 113.2 points a game and let in 120.3. Los Angeles Lakers score 109.2 and let in 109.7. Their recent games average 233.5 and 218.8 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Sacramento Kings won 2 and Los Angeles Lakers won 3. The last one ended Los Angeles Lakers 128, Sacramento Kings 104.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Lakers +2.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Kingsrest between games-3%
  • Lakersrest between games-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Los Angeles Lakers vs Sacramento Kings: Los Angeles Lakers are favourites

The big picture

Sacramento Kings host Los Angeles Lakers in the NBA on Mon 5 Oct, 22:00 at Golden 1 Center. Our prediction for Los Angeles Lakers vs Sacramento Kings is Los Angeles Lakers to win, with a 70% chance. We project Los Angeles Lakers 117.8 and Sacramento Kings 111.9. Our best bet is Lakers +2.5 at -303.

Sacramento Kings form

Sacramento Kings have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2264 points scored and 2406 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Los Angeles Lakers form

Los Angeles Lakers have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2184 points scored and 2193 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Sacramento Kings won 2, Los Angeles Lakers won 3. Last time out it finished Los Angeles Lakers 128, Sacramento Kings 104.

Our call

We expect Los Angeles Lakers to score about 117.8 points and Sacramento Kings about 111.9. That points to Los Angeles Lakers to win. Our safest bet is Lakers +2.5 at -303. Our bold bet is Kings to win at +234.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KingsLakers
Games played2020
Wins811
Losses129
Points scored22642184
Points conceded24062193
Scored per game113.2109.2
Conceded per game120.3109.7
Home record6W 6L7W 4L
Away record2W 6L4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Kings spreadCoversFair
Kings -0.531%+228
Kings +2.539%+154
Kings +5.549%+105
Kings +8.558%-140
Kings +11.567%-207
Total pointsOverUnder
223.564%36%
226.557%43%
229.551%49%
232.544%56%
235.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Kings +3.5 wins if Kings win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Los Angeles Lakers vs Sacramento Kings?

Our prediction for Los Angeles Lakers vs Sacramento Kings is Los Angeles Lakers to win, with a 70% chance. We project Los Angeles Lakers 117.8 and Sacramento Kings 111.9. Our best bet is Lakers +2.5 at -303.

What is the projected score for Los Angeles Lakers vs Sacramento Kings?

We project Los Angeles Lakers 117.8 and Sacramento Kings 111.9, about 229.8 points in total.

How are Sacramento Kings playing?

Sacramento Kings have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2264 points scored and 2406 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Los Angeles Lakers playing?

Los Angeles Lakers have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2184 points scored and 2193 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Sacramento Kings and Los Angeles Lakers last met?

It ended Los Angeles Lakers 128, Sacramento Kings 104. In the last 5 meetings Sacramento Kings won 2 and Los Angeles Lakers won 3.

What is the best bet for Los Angeles Lakers vs Sacramento Kings?

Lakers +2.5 at -303, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kings against Lakers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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