Predictions › United States › Los Angeles Rams vs Washington Commanders
NFLSun 8 Nov, 13:00 United States time

Los Angeles Rams vs Washington Commanders prediction

Northwest Stadium

Los Angeles RamsAway
27.7 : 21.7
projected points
Washington CommandersHome
68%Rams
32%Commanders
Eagle safe pickRams to win
-238

Quick answer

Our prediction for Los Angeles Rams vs Washington Commanders is Los Angeles Rams to win, with a 68% chance. We project Los Angeles Rams 27.7 and Washington Commanders 21.7. Our best bet is Rams to win at -238.

Prediction
Los Angeles Rams to win
Chance
68%
Projected score
Los Angeles Rams 28, Washington Commanders 22
Projected total
49.5 points
Best bet
Rams to win at -238

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Rams to win
67% chancePrice -2381 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Washington Commanders 32% and Los Angeles Rams 68%. The bookmakers agree and make Los Angeles Rams the favourite at -238.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Washington Commanders won 1 of their last 5 and Los Angeles Rams won 2 of their last 5. Los Angeles Rams come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Washington Commanders won 2 of their last 9 games at home. Los Angeles Rams won 7 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Washington Commanders score 18.3 points a game and let in 28.1. Los Angeles Rams score 28.6 and let in 22.1. Their recent games average 46.4 and 50.6 points in total, and the market line is 48.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Rams to win has a 67% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Commandersteam news-1%
  • Ramsteam news-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Los Angeles Rams vs Washington Commanders: Los Angeles Rams are favourites

The big picture

Washington Commanders host Los Angeles Rams in the NFL on Sun 8 Nov, 13:00 at Northwest Stadium. Our prediction for Los Angeles Rams vs Washington Commanders is Los Angeles Rams to win, with a 68% chance. We project Los Angeles Rams 27.7 and Washington Commanders 21.7. Our best bet is Rams to win at -238.

Washington Commanders form

Washington Commanders have 4 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 366 points scored and 562 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, L, newest first.

Los Angeles Rams form

Los Angeles Rams have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 571 points scored and 442 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Los Angeles Rams to score about 27.7 points and Washington Commanders about 21.7. That points to Los Angeles Rams to win. Our safest bet is Rams to win at -238.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CommandersRams
Games played2020
Wins412
Losses158
Points scored366571
Points conceded562442
Scored per game18.328.6
Conceded per game28.122.1
Home record2W 6L5W 3L
Away record2W 9L7W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Commanders to win32%+215+195-6.4%
Rams to win67%-202-238-5.0%
Commanders +5.546%+118-110-12.5%
Rams -5.548%+108-110-8.4%
Over 48.5 points49%+104-110-6.5%
Under 48.5 points45%+123-110-14.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Commanders spreadCoversFair
Commanders -0.531%+218
Commanders +3.543%+135
Commanders +6.551%-106
Commanders +9.560%-151
Commanders +13.571%-245
Total pointsOverUnder
42.570%30%
46.559%41%
49.550%50%
52.541%59%
56.529%71%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Commanders +3.5 wins if Commanders win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Los Angeles Rams vs Washington Commanders?

Our prediction for Los Angeles Rams vs Washington Commanders is Los Angeles Rams to win, with a 68% chance. We project Los Angeles Rams 27.7 and Washington Commanders 21.7. Our best bet is Rams to win at -238.

What is the projected score for Los Angeles Rams vs Washington Commanders?

We project Los Angeles Rams 27.7 and Washington Commanders 21.7, about 49.5 points in total.

How are Washington Commanders playing?

Washington Commanders have 4 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 366 points scored and 562 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Los Angeles Rams playing?

Los Angeles Rams have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 571 points scored and 442 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Los Angeles Rams vs Washington Commanders?

Rams to win at -238, with a 67% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Commanders against Rams. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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