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Predictions › United States › Los Angeles Sparks vs Las Vegas Aces
WNBATue 22 Sept, 22:00 United States time

Los Angeles Sparks vs Las Vegas Aces prediction

Michelob ULTRA Arena

Los Angeles SparksAway
86.5 : 92.2
projected points
Las Vegas AcesHome
29%Sparks
71%Aces
Eagle safe pickAces +1.5
-301

Quick answer

Our prediction for Los Angeles Sparks vs Las Vegas Aces is Las Vegas Aces to win, with a 71% chance. We project Los Angeles Sparks 86.5 and Las Vegas Aces 92.2. Our best bet is Aces +1.5 at -301.

Prediction
Las Vegas Aces to win
Chance
71%
Projected score
Los Angeles Sparks 86, Las Vegas Aces 92
Projected total
178.7 points
Best bet
Aces +1.5 at -301

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Aces +1.5
75% chanceFair price -3012 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sparks to win
28% chanceFair price +2521 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Las Vegas Aces 71% and Los Angeles Sparks 29%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Las Vegas Aces won 3 of their last 5 and Los Angeles Sparks won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Las Vegas Aces won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Los Angeles Sparks won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Las Vegas Aces score 90.2 points a game and let in 86.5. Los Angeles Sparks score 86.3 and let in 90.0. Their recent games average 176.7 and 176.3 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Las Vegas Aces won 3 and Los Angeles Sparks won 1. The last one ended Los Angeles Sparks 69, Las Vegas Aces 79.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Aces +1.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Los Angeles Sparks vs Las Vegas Aces: Las Vegas Aces are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Las Vegas Aces host Los Angeles Sparks in the WNBA on Tue 22 Sept, 22:00 at Michelob ULTRA Arena. Our prediction for Los Angeles Sparks vs Las Vegas Aces is Las Vegas Aces to win, with a 71% chance. We project Los Angeles Sparks 86.5 and Las Vegas Aces 92.2. Our best bet is Aces +1.5 at -301.

Las Vegas Aces form

Las Vegas Aces have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 1803 points scored and 1730 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Los Angeles Sparks form

Los Angeles Sparks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 1726 points scored and 1801 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Las Vegas Aces won 3, Los Angeles Sparks won 1. Last time out it finished Los Angeles Sparks 69, Las Vegas Aces 79.

Our call

We expect Los Angeles Sparks to score about 86.5 points and Las Vegas Aces about 92.2. That points to Las Vegas Aces to win. Our safest bet is Aces +1.5 at -301. Our bold bet is Sparks to win at +252.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AcesSparks
Games played2020
Wins126
Losses814
Points scored18031726
Points conceded17301801
Scored per game90.286.3
Conceded per game86.590.0
Home record7W 4L3W 6L
Away record5W 4L3W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Aces spreadCoversFair
Aces -11.530%+235
Aces -8.540%+150
Aces -5.551%-103
Aces -2.561%-159
Aces +0.571%-249
Total pointsOverUnder
172.566%34%
175.558%42%
178.550%50%
181.543%57%
184.535%65%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Aces +3.5 wins if Aces win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Los Angeles Sparks vs Las Vegas Aces?

Our prediction for Los Angeles Sparks vs Las Vegas Aces is Las Vegas Aces to win, with a 71% chance. We project Los Angeles Sparks 86.5 and Las Vegas Aces 92.2. Our best bet is Aces +1.5 at -301.

What is the projected score for Los Angeles Sparks vs Las Vegas Aces?

We project Los Angeles Sparks 86.5 and Las Vegas Aces 92.2, about 178.7 points in total.

How are Las Vegas Aces playing?

Las Vegas Aces have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 1803 points scored and 1730 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Los Angeles Sparks playing?

Los Angeles Sparks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 1726 points scored and 1801 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Las Vegas Aces and Los Angeles Sparks last met?

It ended Los Angeles Sparks 69, Las Vegas Aces 79. In the last 4 meetings Las Vegas Aces won 3 and Los Angeles Sparks won 1.

What is the best bet for Los Angeles Sparks vs Las Vegas Aces?

Aces +1.5 at -301, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Aces against Sparks. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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