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Predictions › Peru › Los Chankas vs ADT
Peruvian Liga 1Fri 16 Oct, 20:30 Peru time

Los Chankas vs ADT prediction

Estadio Los Chankas

Los ChankasHome
1.77 : 1.04
expected goals
ADTAway
54%Los Chankas
25%Draw
21%ADT
Eagle safe pickLos Chankas or Draw
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Los Chankas vs ADT is Los Chankas to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Los Chankas or Draw at 1.31.

Prediction
Los Chankas to win
Chance
54%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Los Chankas 1.8, ADT 1.0
Best bet
Los Chankas or Draw at 1.31
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Los Chankas or Draw
77% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Los Chankas to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price 3.001 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Los Chankas 54%, the draw 25% and ADT 21%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Los Chankas took 1 point from their last 5 games and ADT took 3 from 5. ADT come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Los Chankas won 6 of their last 11 games at home. ADT won 0 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Los Chankas score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.9. ADT score 1.1 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Los Chankas games and 11 of ADT games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Los Chankas won 0 and ADT won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended ADT 4, Los Chankas 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Los Chankas or Draw has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Los Chankasrecent form-6%
  • ADTrecent form-4%
Los Chankas form D L L L LADT form W L L L LHome edge in this league 45% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Los Chankas vs ADT: Los Chankas are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Los Chankas host ADT in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Fri 16 Oct, 20:30 at Estadio Los Chankas. Our prediction for Los Chankas vs ADT is Los Chankas to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Los Chankas or Draw at 1.31.

Los Chankas form

Los Chankas have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, L, newest first.

ADT form

ADT have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Los Chankas won 0, ADT won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished ADT 4, Los Chankas 0.

Our call

We expect Los Chankas to score about 1.8 goals and ADT about 1.0. That points to Los Chankas to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Los Chankas or Draw at 1.31. Our bold bet is Los Chankas to win and Over 2.5 at 3.00.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Los ChankasADT
Games played2020
Wins74
Draws45
Losses911
Goals scored2223
Goals conceded3734
Scored per game1.11.1
Conceded per game1.91.7
Home record6W 1D 4L4W 2D 5L
Away record1W 3D 5L0W 3D 6L
Clean sheets25%15%
Both teams scored45%60%
Over 2.5 goals55%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals78%1.29
Over 2.5 goals53%1.87
Over 3.5 goals31%3.22
Both teams to score54%1.84
Los Chankas or Draw79%1.27
ADT or Draw46%2.17
Los Chankas to win and Over 2.534%2.90
ADT to win and Over 2.513%7.95
Los Chankas clean sheet35%2.83
ADT clean sheet17%5.89

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.7%
1-010.0%
2-19.8%
2-09.4%
0-06.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Los Chankas vs ADT?

Our prediction for Los Chankas vs ADT is Los Chankas to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Los Chankas or Draw at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Los Chankas vs ADT?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Los Chankas to score 1.8 goals and ADT 1.0.

Will both teams score in Los Chankas vs ADT?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Los Chankas last 20 games and 12 of ADT last 20.

How are Los Chankas playing?

Los Chankas have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are ADT playing?

ADT have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Los Chankas and ADT last met?

It ended ADT 4, Los Chankas 0. In the last 2 meetings Los Chankas won 0 and ADT won 2.

What is the best bet for Los Chankas vs ADT?

Los Chankas or Draw at 1.31, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Los Chankas against ADT. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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