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Predictions › Peru › Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1Sun 8 Nov, 18:00 Peru time

Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima prediction

Estadio Los Chankas

Los ChankasHome
0.91 : 1.37
expected goals
Alianza LimaAway
24%Los Chankas
29%Draw
47%Alianza Lima
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima is Alianza Lima to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.24.

Prediction
Alianza Lima to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Los Chankas 0.9, Alianza Lima 1.4
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.24
Both teams to score
45%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 1.242 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Los Chankas 24%, the draw 29% and Alianza Lima 47%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Los Chankas took 5 points from their last 5 games and Alianza Lima took 12 from 5. Alianza Lima come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Los Chankas won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Alianza Lima won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Los Chankas score 0.9 goals a game and let in 2.0. Alianza Lima score 1.9 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Los Chankas games and 9 of Alianza Lima games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Los Chankas won 0 and Alianza Lima won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Alianza Lima 3, Los Chankas 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Alianza Limarecent form+3%
  • Los Chankasrest between games-5%
Los Chankas form D L W D DAlianza Lima form D W W W LHome edge in this league 45% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima: Alianza Lima are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Los Chankas host Alianza Lima in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Sun 8 Nov, 18:00 at Estadio Los Chankas. Our prediction for Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima is Alianza Lima to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.24.

Los Chankas form

Los Chankas have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 41 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, D, newest first.

Alianza Lima form

Alianza Lima have 12 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Los Chankas won 0, Alianza Lima won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Alianza Lima 3, Los Chankas 0.

Our call

We expect Los Chankas to score about 0.9 goals and Alianza Lima about 1.4. That points to Alianza Lima to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.24. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.40.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Los ChankasAlianza Lima
Games played2020
Wins412
Draws56
Losses112
Goals scored1837
Goals conceded4115
Scored per game0.91.9
Conceded per game2.00.8
Home record4W 1D 5L8W 1D 2L
Away record0W 4D 6L4W 5D 0L
Clean sheets15%35%
Both teams scored50%60%
Over 2.5 goals60%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals67%1.49
Over 2.5 goals40%2.52
Over 3.5 goals20%5.12
Both teams to score45%2.21
Los Chankas or Draw53%1.88
Alianza Lima or Draw76%1.32
Los Chankas to win and Over 2.511%8.86
Alianza Lima to win and Over 2.524%4.19
Los Chankas clean sheet25%3.93
Alianza Lima clean sheet40%2.47

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.5%
0-113.3%
0-011.1%
0-29.6%
1-28.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima?

Our prediction for Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima is Alianza Lima to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Los Chankas to score 0.9 goals and Alianza Lima 1.4.

Will both teams score in Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Los Chankas last 20 games and 12 of Alianza Lima last 20.

How are Los Chankas playing?

Los Chankas have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 41 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, D, newest first.

How are Alianza Lima playing?

Alianza Lima have 12 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Los Chankas and Alianza Lima last met?

It ended Alianza Lima 3, Los Chankas 0. In the last 2 meetings Los Chankas won 0 and Alianza Lima won 2.

What is the best bet for Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.24, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Los Chankas against Alianza Lima. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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