Predictions › Peru › Los Chankas vs Cusco FC
Peruvian Liga 1Thu 29 Oct, 18:00 Peru time

Los Chankas vs Cusco FC prediction

Estadio Los Chankas

Los ChankasHome
1.85 : 1.49
expected goals
Cusco FCAway
46%Los Chankas
24%Draw
31%Cusco
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Los Chankas vs Cusco FC is Los Chankas to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
Los Chankas to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Los Chankas 1.9, Cusco FC 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
66%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Los Chankas to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price 3.021 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Los Chankas 46%, the draw 24% and Cusco FC 31%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Los Chankas took 5 points from their last 5 games and Cusco FC took 6 from 5. Cusco FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Los Chankas won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Cusco FC won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Los Chankas score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.8. Cusco FC score 1.5 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Los Chankas games and 13 of Cusco FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Los Chankas won 1 and Cusco FC won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Cusco FC 1, Los Chankas 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Los Chankasrecent form-3%
Los Chankas form D D D L LCusco form D L W L WHome edge in this league 43% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Los Chankas vs Cusco FC: Los Chankas are favourites

The big picture

Los Chankas host Cusco FC in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Thu 29 Oct, 18:00 at Estadio Los Chankas. Our prediction for Los Chankas vs Cusco FC is Los Chankas to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Los Chankas form

Los Chankas have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, L, newest first.

Cusco FC form

Cusco FC have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Los Chankas won 1, Cusco FC won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Cusco FC 1, Los Chankas 1.

Our call

We expect Los Chankas to score about 1.9 goals and Cusco FC about 1.5. That points to Los Chankas to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Los Chankas to win and Over 2.5 at 3.02.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Los ChankasCusco
Games played2020
Wins68
Draws53
Losses99
Goals scored2030
Goals conceded3630
Scored per game1.01.5
Conceded per game1.81.5
Home record6W 1D 4L5W 2D 3L
Away record0W 4D 5L3W 1D 6L
Clean sheets25%15%
Both teams scored45%70%
Over 2.5 goals55%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals85%1.17
Over 2.5 goals65%1.54
Over 3.5 goals43%2.33
Both teams to score66%1.52
Los Chankas or Draw69%1.44
Cusco FC or Draw54%1.84
Los Chankas to win and Over 2.534%2.97
Cusco FC to win and Over 2.522%4.54
Los Chankas clean sheet23%4.44
Cusco FC clean sheet16%6.36

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.4%
2-19.0%
1-27.3%
2-26.7%
2-06.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Los Chankas vs Cusco FC?

Our prediction for Los Chankas vs Cusco FC is Los Chankas to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Los Chankas vs Cusco FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Los Chankas to score 1.9 goals and Cusco FC 1.5.

Will both teams score in Los Chankas vs Cusco FC?

Both teams to score has a 66% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Los Chankas last 20 games and 14 of Cusco FC last 20.

How are Los Chankas playing?

Los Chankas have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, L, newest first.

How are Cusco FC playing?

Cusco FC have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Los Chankas and Cusco FC last met?

It ended Cusco FC 1, Los Chankas 1. In the last 2 meetings Los Chankas won 1 and Cusco FC won 0.

What is the best bet for Los Chankas vs Cusco FC?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Los Chankas against Cusco. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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