Predictions › United States › Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles
College FootballSat 24 Oct, 17:00 United States time

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles prediction

M. M. Roberts Stadium

Louisiana Ragin' CajunsAway
28.1 : 30.2
projected points
Southern Miss Golden EaglesHome
48%Louisiana
52%Southern Miss
Eagle safe pickLouisiana +12.5
-293

Quick answer

Our prediction for Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles is Southern Miss Golden Eagles to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 28.1 and Southern Miss Golden Eagles 30.2. Our best bet is Louisiana +12.5 at -293.

Prediction
Southern Miss Golden Eagles to win
Chance
52%
Projected score
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 28, Southern Miss Golden Eagles 30
Projected total
58.3 points
Best bet
Louisiana +12.5 at -293

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Louisiana +12.5
75% chanceFair price -2931 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Louisiana to win
44% chanceFair price +1281 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Southern Miss Golden Eagles 52% and Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 48%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Southern Miss Golden Eagles won 1 of their last 5 and Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns won 3 of their last 5. Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Southern Miss Golden Eagles won 4 of their last 8 games at home. Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Southern Miss Golden Eagles score 28.2 points a game and let in 29.7. Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns score 27.6 and let in 28.5. Their recent games average 57.9 and 56.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Southern Miss Golden Eagles won 1 and Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns won 0. The last one ended Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 10, Southern Miss Golden Eagles 22.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Louisiana +12.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles: Southern Miss Golden Eagles shade it

The big picture

Southern Miss Golden Eagles host Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns in the College Football on Sat 24 Oct, 17:00 at M. M. Roberts Stadium. Our prediction for Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles is Southern Miss Golden Eagles to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 28.1 and Southern Miss Golden Eagles 30.2. Our best bet is Louisiana +12.5 at -293.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles form

Southern Miss Golden Eagles have 7 wins and 9 losses in their last 16 games, with 451 points scored and 475 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns form

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns have 9 wins and 8 losses in their last 17 games, with 469 points scored and 485 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Southern Miss Golden Eagles won 1, Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns won 0. Last time out it finished Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 10, Southern Miss Golden Eagles 22.

Our call

We expect Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns to score about 28.1 points and Southern Miss Golden Eagles about 30.2. That points to Southern Miss Golden Eagles to win. Our safest bet is Louisiana +12.5 at -293. Our bold bet is Louisiana to win at +128.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

Southern MissLouisiana
Games played1617
Wins79
Losses98
Points scored451469
Points conceded475485
Scored per game28.227.6
Conceded per game29.728.5
Home record4W 4L6W 1L
Away record3W 5L3W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Southern Miss spreadCoversFair
Southern Miss -9.532%+210
Southern Miss -5.542%+140
Southern Miss -2.549%+104
Southern Miss +0.557%-130
Southern Miss +4.566%-195
Total pointsOverUnder
51.566%34%
55.557%43%
58.549%51%
61.542%58%
65.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Southern Miss +3.5 wins if Southern Miss win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles?

Our prediction for Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles is Southern Miss Golden Eagles to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 28.1 and Southern Miss Golden Eagles 30.2. Our best bet is Louisiana +12.5 at -293.

What is the projected score for Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles?

We project Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 28.1 and Southern Miss Golden Eagles 30.2, about 58.3 points in total.

How are Southern Miss Golden Eagles playing?

Southern Miss Golden Eagles have 7 wins and 9 losses in their last 16 games, with 451 points scored and 475 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns playing?

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns have 9 wins and 8 losses in their last 17 games, with 469 points scored and 485 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Southern Miss Golden Eagles and Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns last met?

It ended Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 10, Southern Miss Golden Eagles 22. In the last 1 meeting Southern Miss Golden Eagles won 1 and Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns won 0.

What is the best bet for Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles?

Louisiana +12.5 at -293, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Southern Miss against Louisiana. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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