Predictions › United States › Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs South Alabama Jaguars
College FootballSat 31 Oct, 15:00 United States time

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs South Alabama Jaguars prediction

Hancock Whitney Stadium

Louisiana Tech BulldogsAway
24.5 : 31.4
projected points
South Alabama JaguarsHome
34%Louisiana Tech
66%South Alabama
Eagle safe pickOver 45.5 points
-301

Quick answer

Our prediction for Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs South Alabama Jaguars is South Alabama Jaguars to win, with a 66% chance. We project Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 24.5 and South Alabama Jaguars 31.4. Our best bet is Over 45.5 points at -301.

Prediction
South Alabama Jaguars to win
Chance
66%
Projected score
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 25, South Alabama Jaguars 31
Projected total
55.9 points
Best bet
Over 45.5 points at -301

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 45.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3012 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Louisiana Tech to win
32% chanceFair price +2101 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives South Alabama Jaguars 66% and Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 34%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    South Alabama Jaguars won 3 of their last 5 and Louisiana Tech Bulldogs won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    South Alabama Jaguars won 4 of their last 7 games at home. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs won 3 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    South Alabama Jaguars score 29.1 points a game and let in 31.6. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs score 30.8 and let in 23.2. Their recent games average 60.8 and 54.0 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 45.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • South Alabamarest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs South Alabama Jaguars: South Alabama Jaguars are favourites

The big picture

South Alabama Jaguars host Louisiana Tech Bulldogs in the College Football on Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 at Hancock Whitney Stadium. Our prediction for Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs South Alabama Jaguars is South Alabama Jaguars to win, with a 66% chance. We project Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 24.5 and South Alabama Jaguars 31.4. Our best bet is Over 45.5 points at -301.

South Alabama Jaguars form

South Alabama Jaguars have 7 wins and 10 losses in their last 17 games, with 495 points scored and 538 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs form

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs have 11 wins and 6 losses in their last 17 games, with 524 points scored and 394 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Louisiana Tech Bulldogs to score about 24.5 points and South Alabama Jaguars about 31.4. That points to South Alabama Jaguars to win. Our safest bet is Over 45.5 points at -301. Our bold bet is Louisiana Tech to win at +210.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

South AlabamaLouisiana Tech
Games played1717
Wins711
Losses106
Points scored495524
Points conceded538394
Scored per game29.130.8
Conceded per game31.623.2
Home record4W 3L8W 1L
Away record3W 7L3W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

South Alabama spreadCoversFair
South Alabama -13.534%+196
South Alabama -9.543%+131
South Alabama -6.551%-103
South Alabama -3.558%-139
South Alabama +0.568%-209
Total pointsOverUnder
48.568%32%
52.558%42%
55.551%49%
58.544%56%
62.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. South Alabama +3.5 wins if South Alabama win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs South Alabama Jaguars?

Our prediction for Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs South Alabama Jaguars is South Alabama Jaguars to win, with a 66% chance. We project Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 24.5 and South Alabama Jaguars 31.4. Our best bet is Over 45.5 points at -301.

What is the projected score for Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs South Alabama Jaguars?

We project Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 24.5 and South Alabama Jaguars 31.4, about 55.9 points in total.

How are South Alabama Jaguars playing?

South Alabama Jaguars have 7 wins and 10 losses in their last 17 games, with 495 points scored and 538 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Louisiana Tech Bulldogs playing?

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs have 11 wins and 6 losses in their last 17 games, with 524 points scored and 394 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs South Alabama Jaguars?

Over 45.5 points at -301, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in South Alabama against Louisiana Tech. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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