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Predictions › United States › Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs Troy Trojans
College FootballSat 7 Nov, 16:00 United States time

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs Troy Trojans prediction

Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)

Louisiana Tech BulldogsAway
21.6 : 28.0
projected points
Troy TrojansHome
36%Louisiana Tech
64%Troy
Eagle safe pickOver 39.5 points
-295

Quick answer

Our prediction for Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs Troy Trojans is Troy Trojans to win, with a 64% chance. We project Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 21.6 and Troy Trojans 28.0. Our best bet is Over 39.5 points at -295.

Prediction
Troy Trojans to win
Chance
64%
Projected score
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 22, Troy Trojans 28
Projected total
49.6 points
Best bet
Over 39.5 points at -295

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 39.5 points
75% chanceFair price -2951 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Louisiana Tech to win
33% chanceFair price +2031 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Troy Trojans 64% and Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 36%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Troy Trojans won 1 of their last 5 and Louisiana Tech Bulldogs won 4 of their last 5. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Troy Trojans won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs won 3 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Troy Trojans score 22.9 points a game and let in 24.3. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs score 30.6 and let in 21.9. Their recent games average 47.2 and 52.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 39.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs Troy Trojans: Troy Trojans are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Troy Trojans host Louisiana Tech Bulldogs in the College Football on Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 at Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL). Our prediction for Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs Troy Trojans is Troy Trojans to win, with a 64% chance. We project Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 21.6 and Troy Trojans 28.0. Our best bet is Over 39.5 points at -295.

Troy Trojans form

Troy Trojans have 10 wins and 9 losses in their last 19 games, with 435 points scored and 462 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs form

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs have 12 wins and 6 losses in their last 18 games, with 550 points scored and 394 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Louisiana Tech Bulldogs to score about 21.6 points and Troy Trojans about 28.0. That points to Troy Trojans to win. Our safest bet is Over 39.5 points at -295. Our bold bet is Louisiana Tech to win at +203.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

TroyLouisiana Tech
Games played1918
Wins1012
Losses96
Points scored435550
Points conceded462394
Scored per game22.930.6
Conceded per game24.321.9
Home record6W 3L9W 1L
Away record4W 6L3W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Troy spreadCoversFair
Troy -13.533%+203
Troy -9.542%+136
Troy -6.550%+100
Troy -3.557%-134
Troy +0.567%-201
Total pointsOverUnder
42.567%33%
46.558%42%
49.550%50%
52.543%57%
56.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Troy +3.5 wins if Troy win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs Troy Trojans?

Our prediction for Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs Troy Trojans is Troy Trojans to win, with a 64% chance. We project Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 21.6 and Troy Trojans 28.0. Our best bet is Over 39.5 points at -295.

What is the projected score for Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs Troy Trojans?

We project Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 21.6 and Troy Trojans 28.0, about 49.6 points in total.

How are Troy Trojans playing?

Troy Trojans have 10 wins and 9 losses in their last 19 games, with 435 points scored and 462 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Louisiana Tech Bulldogs playing?

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs have 12 wins and 6 losses in their last 18 games, with 550 points scored and 394 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs Troy Trojans?

Over 39.5 points at -295, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Troy against Louisiana Tech. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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