Predictions › United States › Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs UL Monroe Warhawks
College FootballSat 17 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs UL Monroe Warhawks prediction

Malone Stadium

Louisiana Tech BulldogsAway
26.4 : 27.7
projected points
UL Monroe WarhawksHome
50%Louisiana Tech
50%UL Monroe
Eagle safe pickUnder 64.5 points
-299

Quick answer

Our prediction for Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs UL Monroe Warhawks is Louisiana Tech Bulldogs to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 26.4 and UL Monroe Warhawks 27.7. Our best bet is Under 64.5 points at -299.

Prediction
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs to win
Chance
50%
Projected score
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 26, UL Monroe Warhawks 28
Projected total
54.1 points
Best bet
Under 64.5 points at -299

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 64.5 points
75% chanceFair price -2991 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Louisiana Tech to win
43% chanceFair price +1301 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives UL Monroe Warhawks 50% and Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 50%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    UL Monroe Warhawks won 0 of their last 5 and Louisiana Tech Bulldogs won 3 of their last 5. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    UL Monroe Warhawks won 1 of their last 6 games at home. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs won 2 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    UL Monroe Warhawks score 19.3 points a game and let in 35.5. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs score 31.2 and let in 24.2. Their recent games average 54.9 and 55.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 64.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs UL Monroe Warhawks: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs shade it

The big picture

UL Monroe Warhawks host Louisiana Tech Bulldogs in the College Football on Sat 17 Oct, 20:00 at Malone Stadium. Our prediction for Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs UL Monroe Warhawks is Louisiana Tech Bulldogs to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 26.4 and UL Monroe Warhawks 27.7. Our best bet is Under 64.5 points at -299.

UL Monroe Warhawks form

UL Monroe Warhawks have 2 wins and 13 losses in their last 15 games, with 290 points scored and 533 conceded. At home they have 1 win and 5 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs form

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs have 9 wins and 6 losses in their last 15 games, with 468 points scored and 363 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Louisiana Tech Bulldogs to score about 26.4 points and UL Monroe Warhawks about 27.7. That points to Louisiana Tech Bulldogs to win. Our safest bet is Under 64.5 points at -299. Our bold bet is Louisiana Tech to win at +130.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

UL MonroeLouisiana Tech
Games played1515
Wins29
Losses136
Points scored290468
Points conceded533363
Scored per game19.331.2
Conceded per game35.524.2
Home record1W 5L7W 1L
Away record1W 8L2W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

UL Monroe spreadCoversFair
UL Monroe -8.533%+205
UL Monroe -4.542%+137
UL Monroe -1.550%+101
UL Monroe +1.557%-133
UL Monroe +5.567%-199
Total pointsOverUnder
47.566%34%
51.556%44%
54.549%51%
57.542%58%
61.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. UL Monroe +3.5 wins if UL Monroe win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs UL Monroe Warhawks?

Our prediction for Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs UL Monroe Warhawks is Louisiana Tech Bulldogs to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 26.4 and UL Monroe Warhawks 27.7. Our best bet is Under 64.5 points at -299.

What is the projected score for Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs UL Monroe Warhawks?

We project Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 26.4 and UL Monroe Warhawks 27.7, about 54.1 points in total.

How are UL Monroe Warhawks playing?

UL Monroe Warhawks have 2 wins and 13 losses in their last 15 games, with 290 points scored and 533 conceded. At home they have 1 win and 5 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Louisiana Tech Bulldogs playing?

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs have 9 wins and 6 losses in their last 15 games, with 468 points scored and 363 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs UL Monroe Warhawks?

Under 64.5 points at -299, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in UL Monroe against Louisiana Tech. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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