EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › United States › Louisville Cardinals vs NC State Wolfpack
College FootballSat 3 Oct, 15:30 United States time

Louisville Cardinals vs NC State Wolfpack prediction

Carter-Finley Stadium

Louisville CardinalsAway
33.0 : 27.5
projected points
NC State WolfpackHome
68%Louisville
32%NC State
Eagle safe pickLouisville to win
-225

Quick answer

Our prediction for Louisville Cardinals vs NC State Wolfpack is Louisville Cardinals to win, with a 68% chance. We project Louisville Cardinals 33.0 and NC State Wolfpack 27.5. Our best bet is Louisville to win at -225.

Prediction
Louisville Cardinals to win
Chance
68%
Projected score
Louisville Cardinals 33, NC State Wolfpack 27
Projected total
60.4 points
Best bet
Louisville to win at -225

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Louisville to win
66% chancePrice -2251 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives NC State Wolfpack 32% and Louisville Cardinals 68%. The bookmakers agree and make Louisville Cardinals the favourite at -225.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    NC State Wolfpack won 3 of their last 5 and Louisville Cardinals won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    NC State Wolfpack won 7 of their last 8 games at home. Louisville Cardinals won 3 of their last 5 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    NC State Wolfpack score 32.5 points a game and let in 27.0. Louisville Cardinals score 31.7 and let in 23.9. Their recent games average 59.5 and 55.6 points in total, and the market line is 60.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Louisville to win has a 66% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • NC Staterest between games-5%
  • Louisvillerest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Louisville Cardinals vs NC State Wolfpack: Louisville Cardinals are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

NC State Wolfpack host Louisville Cardinals in the College Football on Sat 3 Oct, 15:30 at Carter-Finley Stadium. Our prediction for Louisville Cardinals vs NC State Wolfpack is Louisville Cardinals to win, with a 68% chance. We project Louisville Cardinals 33.0 and NC State Wolfpack 27.5. Our best bet is Louisville to win at -225.

NC State Wolfpack form

NC State Wolfpack have 8 wins and 7 losses in their last 15 games, with 487 points scored and 405 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Louisville Cardinals form

Louisville Cardinals have 9 wins and 6 losses in their last 15 games, with 475 points scored and 359 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 2 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Louisville Cardinals to score about 33.0 points and NC State Wolfpack about 27.5. That points to Louisville Cardinals to win. Our safest bet is Louisville to win at -225.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

NC StateLouisville
Games played1515
Wins89
Losses76
Points scored487475
Points conceded405359
Scored per game32.531.7
Conceded per game27.023.9
Home record7W 1L6W 4L
Away record1W 6L3W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
NC State to win32%+208+185-7.6%
Louisville to win66%-190-225-5.3%
NC State +5.547%+113-108-9.7%
Louisville -5.547%+113-112-11.3%
Over 60.5 points47%+114-110-10.8%
Under 60.5 points47%+113-110-10.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

NC State spreadCoversFair
NC State -1.533%+202
NC State +2.543%+135
NC State +5.550%+100
NC State +8.557%-135
NC State +12.567%-202
Total pointsOverUnder
53.567%33%
57.557%43%
60.550%50%
63.542%58%
67.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. NC State +3.5 wins if NC State win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

Former NC State Sports Medicine Director Arrested on Sexual Abuse Charges

Former NC State sports medicine director Robert Michael Murphy has been arrested in Florida following a grand jury indictment for sexual abuse.

24 Sept 2026
College Football

Vanderbilt Stuns NC State with Wild Last Second Touchdown

Vanderbilt scored a touchdown with one second remaining to pull off a shocking 35-31 comeback victory over NC State on Saturday.

19 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Louisville Cardinals vs NC State Wolfpack?

Our prediction for Louisville Cardinals vs NC State Wolfpack is Louisville Cardinals to win, with a 68% chance. We project Louisville Cardinals 33.0 and NC State Wolfpack 27.5. Our best bet is Louisville to win at -225.

What is the projected score for Louisville Cardinals vs NC State Wolfpack?

We project Louisville Cardinals 33.0 and NC State Wolfpack 27.5, about 60.4 points in total.

How are NC State Wolfpack playing?

NC State Wolfpack have 8 wins and 7 losses in their last 15 games, with 487 points scored and 405 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Louisville Cardinals playing?

Louisville Cardinals have 9 wins and 6 losses in their last 15 games, with 475 points scored and 359 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 2 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Louisville Cardinals vs NC State Wolfpack?

Louisville to win at -225, with a 66% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in NC State against Louisville. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.