Predictions › United States › LSU Tigers vs Auburn Tigers
College FootballSat 24 Oct, 12:00 United States time

LSU Tigers vs Auburn Tigers prediction

Jordan-Hare Stadium

LSU TigersAway
22.3 : 28.6
projected points
Auburn TigersHome
35%LSU
65%Auburn
Eagle safe pickOver 40.5 points
-293

Quick answer

Our prediction for LSU Tigers vs Auburn Tigers is Auburn Tigers to win, with a 65% chance. We project LSU Tigers 22.3 and Auburn Tigers 28.6. Our best bet is Over 40.5 points at -293.

Prediction
Auburn Tigers to win
Chance
65%
Projected score
LSU Tigers 22, Auburn Tigers 29
Projected total
50.8 points
Best bet
Over 40.5 points at -293

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 40.5 points
75% chanceFair price -2931 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

LSU to win
33% chanceFair price +2041 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Auburn Tigers 65% and LSU Tigers 35%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Auburn Tigers won 3 of their last 5 and LSU Tigers won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Auburn Tigers won 5 of their last 10 games at home. LSU Tigers won 0 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Auburn Tigers score 25.0 points a game and let in 21.9. LSU Tigers score 29.9 and let in 20.7. Their recent games average 46.9 and 50.6 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 40.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

LSU Tigers vs Auburn Tigers: Auburn Tigers are favourites

The big picture

Auburn Tigers host LSU Tigers in the College Football on Sat 24 Oct, 12:00 at Jordan-Hare Stadium. Our prediction for LSU Tigers vs Auburn Tigers is Auburn Tigers to win, with a 65% chance. We project LSU Tigers 22.3 and Auburn Tigers 28.6. Our best bet is Over 40.5 points at -293.

Auburn Tigers form

Auburn Tigers have 6 wins and 9 losses in their last 15 games, with 375 points scored and 328 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

LSU Tigers form

LSU Tigers have 9 wins and 8 losses in their last 17 games, with 509 points scored and 352 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 7 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect LSU Tigers to score about 22.3 points and Auburn Tigers about 28.6. That points to Auburn Tigers to win. Our safest bet is Over 40.5 points at -293. Our bold bet is LSU to win at +204.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

AuburnLSU
Games played1517
Wins69
Losses98
Points scored375509
Points conceded328352
Scored per game25.029.9
Conceded per game21.920.7
Home record5W 5L9W 1L
Away record1W 4L0W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Auburn spreadCoversFair
Auburn -13.533%+205
Auburn -9.542%+137
Auburn -6.550%+102
Auburn -3.557%-133
Auburn +0.567%-199
Total pointsOverUnder
43.568%32%
47.558%42%
50.551%49%
53.543%57%
57.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Auburn +3.5 wins if Auburn win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win LSU Tigers vs Auburn Tigers?

Our prediction for LSU Tigers vs Auburn Tigers is Auburn Tigers to win, with a 65% chance. We project LSU Tigers 22.3 and Auburn Tigers 28.6. Our best bet is Over 40.5 points at -293.

What is the projected score for LSU Tigers vs Auburn Tigers?

We project LSU Tigers 22.3 and Auburn Tigers 28.6, about 50.8 points in total.

How are Auburn Tigers playing?

Auburn Tigers have 6 wins and 9 losses in their last 15 games, with 375 points scored and 328 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are LSU Tigers playing?

LSU Tigers have 9 wins and 8 losses in their last 17 games, with 509 points scored and 352 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 7 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for LSU Tigers vs Auburn Tigers?

Over 40.5 points at -293, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Auburn against LSU. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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