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Predictions › United States › LSU Tigers vs Kentucky Wildcats
College FootballSat 10 Oct, 19:00 United States time

LSU Tigers vs Kentucky Wildcats prediction

Kroger Field

LSU TigersAway
30.4 : 19.9
projected points
Kentucky WildcatsHome
77%LSU
23%Kentucky
Eagle safe pickOver 39.5 points
-301

Quick answer

Our prediction for LSU Tigers vs Kentucky Wildcats is LSU Tigers to win, with a 77% chance. We project LSU Tigers 30.4 and Kentucky Wildcats 19.9. Our best bet is Over 39.5 points at -301.

Prediction
LSU Tigers to win
Chance
77%
Projected score
LSU Tigers 30, Kentucky Wildcats 20
Projected total
50.3 points
Best bet
Over 39.5 points at -301

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 39.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3012 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kentucky Wildcats 23% and LSU Tigers 77%. The bookmakers agree and make LSU Tigers the favourite at -426.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kentucky Wildcats won 3 of their last 5 and LSU Tigers won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kentucky Wildcats won 5 of their last 8 games at home. LSU Tigers won 0 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Kentucky Wildcats score 26.2 points a game and let in 26.5. LSU Tigers score 27.5 and let in 20.2. Their recent games average 52.7 and 47.7 points in total, and the market line is 49.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 39.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

LSU Tigers vs Kentucky Wildcats: LSU Tigers are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Kentucky Wildcats host LSU Tigers in the College Football on Sat 10 Oct, 19:00 at Kroger Field. Our prediction for LSU Tigers vs Kentucky Wildcats is LSU Tigers to win, with a 77% chance. We project LSU Tigers 30.4 and Kentucky Wildcats 19.9. Our best bet is Over 39.5 points at -301.

Kentucky Wildcats form

Kentucky Wildcats have 7 wins and 7 losses in their last 14 games, with 367 points scored and 371 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

LSU Tigers form

LSU Tigers have 8 wins and 7 losses in their last 15 games, with 412 points scored and 303 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 6 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect LSU Tigers to score about 30.4 points and Kentucky Wildcats about 19.9. That points to LSU Tigers to win. Our safest bet is Over 39.5 points at -301.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

KentuckyLSU
Games played1415
Wins78
Losses77
Points scored367412
Points conceded371303
Scored per game26.227.5
Conceded per game26.520.2
Home record5W 3L8W 1L
Away record2W 4L0W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Kentucky to win23%+342+330-2.6%
LSU to win76%-316-426-6.2%
Kentucky +10.547%+114-110-10.7%
LSU -10.547%+114-110-10.7%
Over 49.5 points49%+105-110-6.8%
Under 49.5 points45%+123-110-14.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Kentucky spreadCoversFair
Kentucky +3.533%+202
Kentucky +7.543%+135
Kentucky +10.550%+100
Kentucky +13.557%-135
Kentucky +17.567%-202
Total pointsOverUnder
43.567%33%
47.557%43%
50.550%50%
53.542%58%
57.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Kentucky +3.5 wins if Kentucky win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

LSU Defeats Texas A&M 35-6 After Locking Down Quarterback Marcel Reed

LSU dominated Texas A&M 35-6 on Saturday night, completely shutting down quarterback Marcel Reed to avenge past losses.

27 Sept 2026
College Football

SEC Frustrated as LSU Seeks Dismissal in Ongoing Roster Battle

The SEC expressed disappointment after Louisiana officials filed to dismiss the federal lawsuit regarding LSU football roster moves.

26 Sept 2026
College Football

Lane Kiffin Faces Emotional Return as LSU Falls to Ole Miss

LSU coach Lane Kiffin felt a wave of gratitude during his return to Oxford, but his Tigers fell 32-24 to Ole Miss after a late comeback fell short.

20 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win LSU Tigers vs Kentucky Wildcats?

Our prediction for LSU Tigers vs Kentucky Wildcats is LSU Tigers to win, with a 77% chance. We project LSU Tigers 30.4 and Kentucky Wildcats 19.9. Our best bet is Over 39.5 points at -301.

What is the projected score for LSU Tigers vs Kentucky Wildcats?

We project LSU Tigers 30.4 and Kentucky Wildcats 19.9, about 50.3 points in total.

How are Kentucky Wildcats playing?

Kentucky Wildcats have 7 wins and 7 losses in their last 14 games, with 367 points scored and 371 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are LSU Tigers playing?

LSU Tigers have 8 wins and 7 losses in their last 15 games, with 412 points scored and 303 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 6 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for LSU Tigers vs Kentucky Wildcats?

Over 39.5 points at -301, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kentucky against LSU. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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