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Predictions › Denmark › Lyngby Boldklub vs FC Nordsjælland
Danish SuperligaSun 18 Oct, 12:00 Denmark time

Lyngby Boldklub vs FC Nordsjælland prediction

Lyngby Stadion

Lyngby BoldklubHome
1.27 : 1.55
expected goals
FC NordsjællandAway
31%Lyngby
26%Draw
43%Nordsjælland
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Lyngby Boldklub vs FC Nordsjælland is FC Nordsjælland to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction
FC Nordsjælland to win
Chance
43%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Lyngby Boldklub 1.3, FC Nordsjælland 1.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

FC Nordsjælland to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 3.701 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Lyngby Boldklub 31%, the draw 26% and FC Nordsjælland 43%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Lyngby Boldklub took 5 points from their last 5 games and FC Nordsjælland took 7 from 5. FC Nordsjælland come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Lyngby Boldklub won 0 of their last 5 games at home. FC Nordsjælland won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Lyngby Boldklub score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.8. FC Nordsjælland score 1.4 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of Lyngby Boldklub games and 8 of FC Nordsjælland games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Lyngbyrecent form-1%
Lyngby form L D W D LNordsjælland form L W D L WHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Lyngby Boldklub vs FC Nordsjælland: FC Nordsjælland shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Lyngby Boldklub host FC Nordsjælland in the Danish Superliga on Sun 18 Oct, 12:00 at Lyngby Stadion. Our prediction for Lyngby Boldklub vs FC Nordsjælland is FC Nordsjælland to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Lyngby Boldklub form

Lyngby Boldklub have 1 win, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 9 games, with 10 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 5. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, L, newest first.

FC Nordsjælland form

FC Nordsjælland have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Lyngby Boldklub to score about 1.3 goals and FC Nordsjælland about 1.6. That points to FC Nordsjælland to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is FC Nordsjælland to win and Over 2.5 at 3.70.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

LyngbyNordsjælland
Games played920
Wins110
Draws46
Losses44
Goals scored1029
Goals conceded1619
Scored per game1.11.4
Conceded per game1.80.9
Home record0W 4D 1L7W 2D 0L
Away record1W 0D 3L3W 4D 4L
Clean sheets11%35%
Both teams scored67%55%
Over 2.5 goals44%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals78%1.28
Over 2.5 goals54%1.87
Over 3.5 goals31%3.20
Both teams to score57%1.74
Lyngby Boldklub or Draw57%1.76
FC Nordsjælland or Draw69%1.44
Lyngby Boldklub to win and Over 2.519%5.29
FC Nordsjælland to win and Over 2.527%3.64
Lyngby Boldklub clean sheet21%4.71
FC Nordsjælland clean sheet28%3.56

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.4%
1-29.1%
0-18.5%
2-17.5%
0-27.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Lyngby Boldklub vs FC Nordsjælland?

Our prediction for Lyngby Boldklub vs FC Nordsjælland is FC Nordsjælland to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Lyngby Boldklub vs FC Nordsjælland?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Lyngby Boldklub to score 1.3 goals and FC Nordsjælland 1.6.

Will both teams score in Lyngby Boldklub vs FC Nordsjælland?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 6 of Lyngby Boldklub last 9 games and 11 of FC Nordsjælland last 20.

How are Lyngby Boldklub playing?

Lyngby Boldklub have 1 win, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 9 games, with 10 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 5. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, L, newest first.

How are FC Nordsjælland playing?

FC Nordsjælland have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Lyngby Boldklub vs FC Nordsjælland?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Lyngby against Nordsjælland. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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