Predictions › Denmark › Lyngby Boldklub vs Sønderjyske Fodbold

Danish SuperligaSun 13 Sept, 12:00 Denmark time

Lyngby Boldklub vs Sønderjyske Fodbold prediction

Lyngby Stadion

Lyngby BoldklubHome

2.03 : 1.06

expected goals

Sønderjyske FodboldAway

59%Lyngby

22%Draw

19%Sønderjyske

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.59

Quick answer

Our prediction for Lyngby Boldklub vs Sønderjyske Fodbold is Lyngby Boldklub to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.59.

Prediction: Lyngby Boldklub to win
Chance: 59%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Lyngby Boldklub 2.0, Sønderjyske Fodbold 1.1
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.59
Both teams to score: 57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

61% chancePrice 1.591 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Lyngby Boldklub to win and Over 2.5

38% chanceFair price 2.651 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Lyngby Boldklub 59%, the draw 22% and Sønderjyske Fodbold 19%. The bookmakers agree and make Lyngby Boldklub the favourite at 1.57.
2
Recent form
Lyngby Boldklub took 5 points from their last 5 games and Sønderjyske Fodbold took 1 from 5. Lyngby Boldklub come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Lyngby Boldklub won 0 of their last 3 games at home. Sønderjyske Fodbold won 1 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Lyngby Boldklub score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.6. Sønderjyske Fodbold score 1.0 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of Lyngby Boldklub games and 12 of Sønderjyske Fodbold games in that run.
5
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 61% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Lyngbyrecent form-1%
Sønderjyskerecent form-6%

Lyngby form W D L D LSønderjyske form L L L L DHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Lyngby Boldklub vs Sønderjyske Fodbold: Lyngby Boldklub are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Lyngby Boldklub host Sønderjyske Fodbold in the Danish Superliga on Sun 13 Sept, 12:00 at Lyngby Stadion. Our prediction for Lyngby Boldklub vs Sønderjyske Fodbold is Lyngby Boldklub to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.59.

Lyngby Boldklub form

Lyngby Boldklub have 1 win, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 7 games, with 9 goals scored and 11 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, D, L, newest first.

Sønderjyske Fodbold form

Sønderjyske Fodbold have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 40 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Lyngby Boldklub to score about 2.0 goals and Sønderjyske Fodbold about 1.1. That points to Lyngby Boldklub to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.59. Our bold bet is Lyngby Boldklub to win and Over 2.5 at 2.65.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Lyngby	Sønderjyske
Games played	7	20
Wins	1	4
Draws	3	4
Losses	3	12
Goals scored	9	20
Goals conceded	11	40
Scored per game	1.3	1.0
Conceded per game	1.6	2.0
Home record	0W 3D 0L	3W 2D 6L
Away record	1W 0D 3L	1W 2D 6L
Clean sheets	14%	25%
Both teams scored	71%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	43%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Lyngby Boldklub to win	60%	1.67	1.57	-5.9%
A Draw	21%	4.86	4.30	-11.5%
Sønderjyske Fodbold to win	17%	5.91	5.25	-11.1%
Over 3.5 goals	36%	2.74	2.30	-16.1%
Under 3.5 goals	61%	1.63	1.59	-2.7%
Lyngby Boldklub -0.5	61%	1.64	1.54	-5.9%
Sønderjyske Fodbold +0.5	37%	2.73	2.35	-13.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	82%	1.22
Over 2.5 goals	60%	1.68
Over 3.5 goals	37%	2.68
Both teams to score	57%	1.74
Lyngby Boldklub or Draw	81%	1.23
Sønderjyske Fodbold or Draw	41%	2.44
Lyngby Boldklub to win and Over 2.5	41%	2.44
Sønderjyske Fodbold to win and Over 2.5	12%	8.43
Lyngby Boldklub clean sheet	35%	2.89
Sønderjyske Fodbold clean sheet	13%	7.58

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.4%

2-19.9%

2-09.3%

1-08.6%

3-16.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Lyngby Boldklub vs Sønderjyske Fodbold?

Our prediction for Lyngby Boldklub vs Sønderjyske Fodbold is Lyngby Boldklub to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.59.

What is the score prediction for Lyngby Boldklub vs Sønderjyske Fodbold?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Lyngby Boldklub to score 2.0 goals and Sønderjyske Fodbold 1.1.

Will both teams score in Lyngby Boldklub vs Sønderjyske Fodbold?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 5 of Lyngby Boldklub last 7 games and 10 of Sønderjyske Fodbold last 20.

How are Lyngby Boldklub playing?

How are Sønderjyske Fodbold playing?

What is the best bet for Lyngby Boldklub vs Sønderjyske Fodbold?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.59, with a 61% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Lyngby against Sønderjyske. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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