Predictions › France › Lyon vs Angers

Ligue 1Sat 31 Oct, 19:45 France time

Lyon vs Angers prediction

Groupama Stadium

LyonHome

2.24 : 0.90

expected goals

AngersAway

67%Lyon

20%Draw

13%Angers

Eagle safe pickLyon draw no bet

1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Lyon vs Angers is Lyon to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Lyon draw no bet at 1.20.

Prediction: Lyon to win
Chance: 67%
Most likely score: 2-0
Expected goals: Lyon 2.2, Angers 0.9
Best bet: Lyon draw no bet at 1.20
Both teams to score: 53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Lyon draw no bet

83% chanceFair price 1.202 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Lyon to win and both score

30% chanceFair price 3.311 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Lyon 67%, the draw 20% and Angers 13%. The bookmakers agree and make Lyon the favourite at 1.39.
2
Recent form
Lyon took 12 points from their last 5 games and Angers took 4 from 5. Lyon come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Lyon won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Angers won 2 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Lyon score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.2. Angers score 0.8 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Lyon games and 8 of Angers games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Lyon won 1 and Angers won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Angers 0, Lyon 0.
6
The safest bet
Lyon draw no bet has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Lyonrecent form+3%
Angersrecent form-1%

Lyon form D W L W WAngers form D L W D LHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Lyon vs Angers: Lyon are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Lyon host Angers in the Ligue 1 on Sat 31 Oct, 19:45 at Groupama Stadium. Our prediction for Lyon vs Angers is Lyon to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Lyon draw no bet at 1.20.

Lyon form

Lyon have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Angers form

Angers have 3 wins, 5 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 38 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Lyon won 1, Angers won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Angers 0, Lyon 0.

Our call

We expect Lyon to score about 2.2 goals and Angers about 0.9. That points to Lyon to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Lyon draw no bet at 1.20. Our bold bet is Lyon to win and both score at 3.31.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Lyon	Angers
Games played	20	20
Wins	10	3
Draws	5	5
Losses	5	12
Goals scored	32	16
Goals conceded	24	38
Scored per game	1.6	0.8
Conceded per game	1.2	1.9
Home record	7W 1D 3L	1W 3D 6L
Away record	3W 4D 2L	2W 2D 6L
Clean sheets	30%	20%
Both teams scored	60%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Lyon to win	67%	1.50	1.39	-7.0%
A Draw	19%	5.27	4.90	-7.1%
Angers to win	13%	7.84	7.00	-10.7%
Over 2.5 goals	56%	1.79	1.53	-15.0%
Under 2.5 goals	40%	2.50	2.35	-6.1%
Lyon -1.5	45%	2.22	1.95	-12.0%
Angers +1.5	51%	1.97	1.67	-15.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	83%	1.21
Over 2.5 goals	61%	1.65
Over 3.5 goals	38%	2.60
Both teams to score	53%	1.87
Lyon or Draw	87%	1.15
Angers or Draw	33%	3.06
Lyon to win and Over 2.5	47%	2.12
Angers to win and Over 2.5	8%	12.52
Lyon clean sheet	41%	2.45
Angers clean sheet	11%	9.43

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-010.9%

2-19.8%

1-19.2%

1-09.2%

3-08.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Lyon vs Angers?

Our prediction for Lyon vs Angers is Lyon to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Lyon draw no bet at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Lyon vs Angers?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-1. We expect Lyon to score 2.2 goals and Angers 0.9.

Will both teams score in Lyon vs Angers?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Lyon last 20 games and 10 of Angers last 20.

How are Lyon playing?

How are Angers playing?

What happened when Lyon and Angers last met?

It ended Angers 0, Lyon 0. In the last 2 meetings Lyon won 1 and Angers won 0.

What is the best bet for Lyon vs Angers?

Lyon draw no bet at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Lyon against Angers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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