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Predictions › Australia › Macarthur FC vs Brisbane Roar FC
A-LeagueSun 8 Nov, 04:00 Australia time

Macarthur FC vs Brisbane Roar FC prediction

Campbelltown Sports Stadium

Macarthur FCHome
1.70 : 1.28
expected goals
Brisbane Roar FCAway
47%Macarthur
25%Draw
28%Brisbane
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for Macarthur FC vs Brisbane Roar FC is Macarthur FC to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

Prediction
Macarthur FC to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Macarthur FC 1.7, Brisbane Roar FC 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.24
Both teams to score
60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 1.242 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Macarthur FC to win and Over 2.5
30% chanceFair price 3.291 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Macarthur FC 47%, the draw 25% and Brisbane Roar FC 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Macarthur FC took 7 points from their last 5 games and Brisbane Roar FC took 5 from 5. Macarthur FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Macarthur FC won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Brisbane Roar FC won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Macarthur FC score 1.7 goals a game and let in 1.9. Brisbane Roar FC score 1.1 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Macarthur FC games and 13 of Brisbane Roar FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Macarthur FC won 1 and Brisbane Roar FC won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Macarthur FC 2, Brisbane Roar FC 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Brisbanerecent form-3%
Macarthur form D W W L LBrisbane form D L L D DHome edge in this league 17% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Macarthur FC vs Brisbane Roar FC: Macarthur FC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Macarthur FC host Brisbane Roar FC in the A-League on Sun 8 Nov, 04:00 at Campbelltown Sports Stadium. Our prediction for Macarthur FC vs Brisbane Roar FC is Macarthur FC to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

Macarthur FC form

Macarthur FC have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 38 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Brisbane Roar FC form

Brisbane Roar FC have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Macarthur FC won 1, Brisbane Roar FC won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Macarthur FC 2, Brisbane Roar FC 1.

Our call

We expect Macarthur FC to score about 1.7 goals and Brisbane Roar FC about 1.3. That points to Macarthur FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24. Our bold bet is Macarthur FC to win and Over 2.5 at 3.29.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MacarthurBrisbane
Games played2020
Wins73
Draws66
Losses711
Goals scored3421
Goals conceded3834
Scored per game1.71.1
Conceded per game1.91.7
Home record4W 2D 3L1W 3D 6L
Away record3W 4D 4L2W 3D 5L
Clean sheets10%10%
Both teams scored75%70%
Over 2.5 goals65%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals80%1.24
Over 2.5 goals57%1.75
Over 3.5 goals35%2.87
Both teams to score60%1.68
Macarthur FC or Draw72%1.39
Brisbane Roar FC or Draw53%1.88
Macarthur FC to win and Over 2.531%3.19
Brisbane Roar FC to win and Over 2.518%5.50
Macarthur FC clean sheet28%3.59
Brisbane Roar FC clean sheet18%5.47

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.7%
2-19.4%
1-08.0%
2-07.4%
1-27.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Macarthur FC vs Brisbane Roar FC?

Our prediction for Macarthur FC vs Brisbane Roar FC is Macarthur FC to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for Macarthur FC vs Brisbane Roar FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Macarthur FC to score 1.7 goals and Brisbane Roar FC 1.3.

Will both teams score in Macarthur FC vs Brisbane Roar FC?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Macarthur FC last 20 games and 14 of Brisbane Roar FC last 20.

How are Macarthur FC playing?

Macarthur FC have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 38 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Brisbane Roar FC playing?

Brisbane Roar FC have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Macarthur FC and Brisbane Roar FC last met?

It ended Macarthur FC 2, Brisbane Roar FC 1. In the last 2 meetings Macarthur FC won 1 and Brisbane Roar FC won 1.

What is the best bet for Macarthur FC vs Brisbane Roar FC?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.24, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Macarthur against Brisbane. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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