EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Germany › Mainz vs Bayern Munich
BundesligaSat 7 Nov, 14:30 Germany time

Mainz vs Bayern Munich prediction

MEWA ARENA

MainzHome
1.45 : 2.90
expected goals
Bayern MunichAway
16%Mainz
17%Draw
67%Bayern
Eagle safe pickBayern Munich or Draw
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Mainz vs Bayern Munich is Bayern Munich to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Bayern Munich or Draw at 1.19.

Prediction
Bayern Munich to win
Chance
67%
Most likely score
1-2
Expected goals
Mainz 1.4, Bayern Munich 2.9
Best bet
Bayern Munich or Draw at 1.19
Both teams to score
73%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Bayern Munich or Draw
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Bayern Munich to win and both score
44% chanceFair price 2.291 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Mainz 16%, the draw 17% and Bayern Munich 67%. The bookmakers agree and make Bayern Munich the favourite at 1.43.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Mainz took 6 points from their last 5 games and Bayern Munich took 9 from 5. Bayern Munich come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Mainz won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Bayern Munich won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Mainz score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.4. Bayern Munich score 3.4 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Mainz games and 17 of Bayern Munich games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Mainz won 0 and Bayern Munich won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Mainz 3, Bayern Munich 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Bayern Munich or Draw has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bayernrecent form+1%
Mainz form D L W L WBayern form D D W D DHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Mainz vs Bayern Munich: Bayern Munich are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Mainz host Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga on Sat 7 Nov, 14:30 at MEWA ARENA. Our prediction for Mainz vs Bayern Munich is Bayern Munich to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Bayern Munich or Draw at 1.19.

Mainz form

Mainz have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Bayern Munich form

Bayern Munich have 13 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 68 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Mainz won 0, Bayern Munich won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Mainz 3, Bayern Munich 4.

Our call

We expect Mainz to score about 1.4 goals and Bayern Munich about 2.9. That points to Bayern Munich to win, with 1-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Bayern Munich or Draw at 1.19. Our bold bet is Bayern Munich to win and both score at 2.29.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MainzBayern
Games played2020
Wins1013
Draws36
Losses71
Goals scored3568
Goals conceded2930
Scored per game1.83.4
Conceded per game1.41.5
Home record3W 1D 6L7W 3D 0L
Away record7W 2D 1L6W 3D 1L
Clean sheets40%25%
Both teams scored50%75%
Over 2.5 goals55%85%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Mainz to win17%5.974.60-23.0%
A Draw17%5.935.25-11.5%
Bayern Munich to win66%1.521.43-6.2%
Over 4.5 goals42%2.352.15-8.6%
Under 4.5 goals52%1.931.63-16.0%
Mainz +1.549%2.031.69-16.7%
Bayern Munich -1.545%2.231.95-12.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals93%1.07
Over 2.5 goals81%1.24
Over 3.5 goals63%1.58
Both teams to score73%1.38
Mainz or Draw33%3.03
Bayern Munich or Draw84%1.20
Mainz to win and Over 2.514%7.38
Bayern Munich to win and Over 2.558%1.72
Mainz clean sheet5%18.19
Bayern Munich clean sheet23%4.26

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-27.9%
1-37.6%
1-15.7%
2-25.7%
1-45.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Premier League

English Giants Track Lennart Karl While Milan Target Leny Yoro

Premier League clubs are monitoring Lennart Karl, while AC Milan target Leny Yoro and Tottenham face interest in Pedro Porro.

25 Oct 2026
Premier League

Top European clubs show interest in Brighton defender Luka Vuskovic

Big teams across Europe are chasing Brighton defender Luka Vuskovic while several other top players attract transfer attention.

24 Oct 2026
Champions League

Rice Supports Kane For Ballon d'Or Glory

Declan Rice says England teammate Harry Kane deserves to win the Ballon d'Or on Monday after another brilliant year.

22 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Mainz vs Bayern Munich?

Our prediction for Mainz vs Bayern Munich is Bayern Munich to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Bayern Munich or Draw at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Mainz vs Bayern Munich?

1-2 is the most likely score, followed by 1-3 and 1-1. We expect Mainz to score 1.4 goals and Bayern Munich 2.9.

Will both teams score in Mainz vs Bayern Munich?

Both teams to score has a 73% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Mainz last 20 games and 15 of Bayern Munich last 20.

How are Mainz playing?

Mainz have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Bayern Munich playing?

Bayern Munich have 13 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 68 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Mainz and Bayern Munich last met?

It ended Mainz 3, Bayern Munich 4. In the last 2 meetings Mainz won 0 and Bayern Munich won 1.

What is the best bet for Mainz vs Bayern Munich?

Bayern Munich or Draw at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Mainz against Bayern. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.