Predictions › Spain › Málaga vs Racing Santander

LaLigaSat 7 Nov, 13:00 Spain time

Málaga vs Racing Santander prediction

La Rosaleda

MálagaHome

1.66 : 1.40

expected goals

Racing SantanderAway

43%Málaga

25%Draw

32%Racing

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Málaga vs Racing Santander is Málaga to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction: Málaga to win
Chance: 43%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Málaga 1.7, Racing Santander 1.4
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score: 62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

82% chanceFair price 1.222 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Málaga to win and Over 2.5

28% chanceFair price 3.521 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Málaga 43%, the draw 25% and Racing Santander 32%. The bookmakers agree and make Málaga the favourite at 2.35.
2
Recent form
Málaga took 2 points from their last 5 games and Racing Santander took 4 from 5. Racing Santander come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Málaga won 1 of their last 10 games at home. Racing Santander won 2 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Málaga score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.4. Racing Santander score 2.1 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Málaga games and 16 of Racing Santander games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Málaga won 0 and Racing Santander won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Málaga 1, Racing Santander 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Málagarecent form-3%
Racingrecent form-4%

Málaga form D D L D LRacing form D L D L LHome edge in this league 35% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Málaga vs Racing Santander: Málaga shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Málaga host Racing Santander in the LaLiga on Sat 7 Nov, 13:00 at La Rosaleda. Our prediction for Málaga vs Racing Santander is Málaga to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Málaga form

Málaga have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 6 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, L, newest first.

Racing Santander form

Racing Santander have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 41 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Málaga won 0, Racing Santander won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Málaga 1, Racing Santander 1.

Our call

We expect Málaga to score about 1.7 goals and Racing Santander about 1.4. That points to Málaga to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Málaga to win and Over 2.5 at 3.52.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Málaga	Racing
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	10
Draws	8	4
Losses	6	6
Goals scored	26	43
Goals conceded	29	41
Scored per game	1.3	2.1
Conceded per game	1.4	2.0
Home record	1W 6D 3L	8W 2D 0L
Away record	5W 2D 3L	2W 2D 6L
Clean sheets	20%	5%
Both teams scored	65%	80%
Over 2.5 goals	40%	80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Málaga to win	42%	2.36	2.35	-0.4%
A Draw	24%	4.09	3.45	-15.6%
Racing Santander to win	31%	3.26	2.80	-14.2%
Over 2.5 goals	52%	1.91	1.63	-14.9%
Under 2.5 goals	42%	2.39	2.15	-10.0%
Málaga -0.5	41%	2.42	2.20	-9.1%
Racing Santander +0.5	53%	1.89	1.53	-19.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	82%	1.22
Over 2.5 goals	59%	1.69
Over 3.5 goals	37%	2.72
Both teams to score	62%	1.62
Málaga or Draw	68%	1.47
Racing Santander or Draw	57%	1.76
Málaga to win and Over 2.5	30%	3.38
Racing Santander to win and Over 2.5	21%	4.69
Málaga clean sheet	25%	4.06
Racing Santander clean sheet	19%	5.28

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.5%

2-19.0%

1-27.6%

1-07.1%

2-06.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

LaLiga

Barcelona Smash Records in Seven Goal Demolition

Barcelona set a club record with seven straight wins to start the season after beating Racing Santander 7-2, led by a Raphinha hat trick.

16 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Málaga vs Racing Santander?

Our prediction for Málaga vs Racing Santander is Málaga to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Málaga vs Racing Santander?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Málaga to score 1.7 goals and Racing Santander 1.4.

Will both teams score in Málaga vs Racing Santander?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Málaga last 20 games and 16 of Racing Santander last 20.

How are Málaga playing?

How are Racing Santander playing?

What happened when Málaga and Racing Santander last met?

It ended Málaga 1, Racing Santander 1. In the last 2 meetings Málaga won 0 and Racing Santander won 1.

What is the best bet for Málaga vs Racing Santander?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Málaga against Racing. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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