Predictions › Spain › Mallorca vs Cádiz
LaLiga 2Mon 2 Nov, 20:00 Spain time

Mallorca vs Cádiz prediction

Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

MallorcaHome
2.07 : 0.68
expected goals
CádizAway
69%Mallorca
20%Draw
11%Cádiz
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Mallorca vs Cádiz is Mallorca to win, with a 69% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
Mallorca to win
Chance
69%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Mallorca 2.1, Cádiz 0.7
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
44%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Mallorca to win and Over 2.5
43% chanceFair price 2.341 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Mallorca 69%, the draw 20% and Cádiz 11%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Mallorca took 8 points from their last 5 games and Cádiz took 4 from 5. Mallorca come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Mallorca won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Cádiz won 0 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Mallorca score 1.3 goals a game and let in 0.8. Cádiz score 1.0 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Mallorca games and 11 of Cádiz games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Mallorcarecent form+1%
  • Cádizrecent form-1%
Mallorca form D W D L WCádiz form D L W D LHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Mallorca vs Cádiz: Mallorca are favourites

The big picture

Mallorca host Cádiz in the LaLiga 2 on Mon 2 Nov, 20:00 at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix. Our prediction for Mallorca vs Cádiz is Mallorca to win, with a 69% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Mallorca form

Mallorca have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, W, newest first.

Cádiz form

Cádiz have 2 wins, 6 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Mallorca to score about 2.1 goals and Cádiz about 0.7. That points to Mallorca to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Mallorca to win and Over 2.5 at 2.34.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MallorcaCádiz
Games played2020
Wins92
Draws56
Losses612
Goals scored2620
Goals conceded1733
Scored per game1.31.0
Conceded per game0.81.6
Home record7W 2D 1L2W 2D 7L
Away record2W 3D 5L0W 4D 5L
Clean sheets45%15%
Both teams scored40%50%
Over 2.5 goals40%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.31
Over 2.5 goals52%1.93
Over 3.5 goals30%3.36
Both teams to score44%2.29
Mallorca or Draw89%1.12
Cádiz or Draw31%3.26
Mallorca to win and Over 2.543%2.33
Cádiz to win and Over 2.55%19.01
Mallorca clean sheet51%1.98
Cádiz clean sheet13%7.94

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-013.7%
1-012.7%
1-19.5%
3-09.4%
2-19.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Mallorca vs Cádiz?

Our prediction for Mallorca vs Cádiz is Mallorca to win, with a 69% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Mallorca vs Cádiz?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 1-1. We expect Mallorca to score 2.1 goals and Cádiz 0.7.

Will both teams score in Mallorca vs Cádiz?

Both teams to score has a 44% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Mallorca last 20 games and 10 of Cádiz last 20.

How are Mallorca playing?

Mallorca have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, W, newest first.

How are Cádiz playing?

Cádiz have 2 wins, 6 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Mallorca vs Cádiz?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Mallorca against Cádiz. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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