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Predictions › Spain › Mallorca vs CD Sabadell
LaLiga 2Sun 13 Sept, 16:30 Spain time

Mallorca vs CD Sabadell prediction

Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

MallorcaHome
1.47 : 0.91
expected goals
CD SabadellAway
50%Mallorca
28%Draw
23%CD Sabadell
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for Mallorca vs CD Sabadell is Mallorca to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.24.

Prediction
Mallorca to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Mallorca 1.5, CD Sabadell 0.9
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.24
Both teams to score
47%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.242 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Mallorca to win and Over 2.5
25% chanceFair price 3.961 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Mallorca 50%, the draw 28% and CD Sabadell 23%. The bookmakers agree and make Mallorca the favourite at 1.91.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Mallorca took 10 points from their last 5 games and CD Sabadell took 8 from 4. Mallorca come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Mallorca score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.3. CD Sabadell score 1.0 and let in 0.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Mallorca games and 1 of CD Sabadell games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Mallorcarecent form+3%
  • CD Sabadellrecent form+1%
Mallorca form D W L W WCD Sabadell form W W D D LHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Mallorca vs CD Sabadell: Mallorca are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Mallorca host CD Sabadell in the LaLiga 2 on Sun 13 Sept, 16:30 at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix. Our prediction for Mallorca vs CD Sabadell is Mallorca to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.24.

Mallorca form

Mallorca have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, W, newest first.

CD Sabadell form

CD Sabadell have 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 4 games, with 4 goals scored and 2 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from 2. Their last 4 results read W, W, D, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Mallorca to score about 1.5 goals and CD Sabadell about 0.9. That points to Mallorca to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.24. Our bold bet is Mallorca to win and Over 2.5 at 3.96.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MallorcaCD Sabadell
Games played204
Wins72
Draws42
Losses90
Goals scored244
Goals conceded252
Scored per game1.21.0
Conceded per game1.30.5
Home record6W 2D 2L2W 0D 0L
Away record1W 2D 7L0W 2D 0L
Clean sheets30%75%
Both teams scored45%25%
Over 2.5 goals55%25%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Mallorca to win48%2.071.91-8.0%
A Draw26%3.783.40-9.9%
CD Sabadell to win21%4.774.10-14.1%
Over 2.5 goals40%2.482.15-13.4%
Under 2.5 goals57%1.751.65-5.8%
Mallorca -0.549%2.061.83-10.9%
CD Sabadell +0.549%2.041.83-10.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals70%1.44
Over 2.5 goals43%2.35
Over 3.5 goals22%4.59
Both teams to score47%2.14
Mallorca or Draw77%1.29
CD Sabadell or Draw50%1.98
Mallorca to win and Over 2.527%3.74
CD Sabadell to win and Over 2.511%9.03
Mallorca clean sheet40%2.48
CD Sabadell clean sheet23%4.36

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.1%
1-012.8%
2-010.0%
0-010.0%
2-19.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Mallorca vs CD Sabadell?

Our prediction for Mallorca vs CD Sabadell is Mallorca to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for Mallorca vs CD Sabadell?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Mallorca to score 1.5 goals and CD Sabadell 0.9.

Will both teams score in Mallorca vs CD Sabadell?

Both teams to score has a 47% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Mallorca last 20 games and 1 of CD Sabadell last 4.

How are Mallorca playing?

Mallorca have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are CD Sabadell playing?

CD Sabadell have 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 4 games, with 4 goals scored and 2 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from 2. Their last 4 results read W, W, D, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Mallorca vs CD Sabadell?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.24, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Mallorca against CD Sabadell. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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