Predictions › Spain › Mallorca vs Córdoba
LaLiga 2Sat 14 Nov, 17:30 Spain time

Mallorca vs Córdoba prediction

Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

MallorcaHome
2.07 : 0.98
expected goals
CórdobaAway
62%Mallorca
22%Draw
17%Córdoba
Eagle safe pickMallorca or Draw
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Mallorca vs Córdoba is Mallorca to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Mallorca or Draw at 1.20.

Prediction
Mallorca to win
Chance
62%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Mallorca 2.1, Córdoba 1.0
Best bet
Mallorca or Draw at 1.20
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Mallorca or Draw
83% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Mallorca to win and Over 2.5
41% chanceFair price 2.441 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Mallorca 62%, the draw 22% and Córdoba 17%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Mallorca took 9 points from their last 5 games and Córdoba took 10 from 5. Córdoba come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Mallorca won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Córdoba won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Mallorca score 1.3 goals a game and let in 0.8. Córdoba score 1.5 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Mallorca games and 13 of Córdoba games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Mallorca or Draw has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Mallorcarecent form+3%
  • Mallorcarest between games-2%
Mallorca form W D D W DCórdoba form D L W W LHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Mallorca vs Córdoba: Mallorca are favourites

The big picture

Mallorca host Córdoba in the LaLiga 2 on Sat 14 Nov, 17:30 at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix. Our prediction for Mallorca vs Córdoba is Mallorca to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Mallorca or Draw at 1.20.

Mallorca form

Mallorca have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, D, newest first.

Córdoba form

Córdoba have 10 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Mallorca to score about 2.1 goals and Córdoba about 1.0. That points to Mallorca to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Mallorca or Draw at 1.20. Our bold bet is Mallorca to win and Over 2.5 at 2.44.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MallorcaCórdoba
Games played2020
Wins910
Draws62
Losses58
Goals scored2630
Goals conceded1631
Scored per game1.31.5
Conceded per game0.81.6
Home record7W 2D 1L6W 1D 3L
Away record2W 4D 4L4W 1D 5L
Clean sheets45%20%
Both teams scored40%70%
Over 2.5 goals35%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.23
Over 2.5 goals59%1.70
Over 3.5 goals36%2.74
Both teams to score55%1.81
Mallorca or Draw83%1.20
Córdoba or Draw38%2.62
Mallorca to win and Over 2.542%2.35
Córdoba to win and Over 2.510%9.81
Mallorca clean sheet37%2.68
Córdoba clean sheet13%7.91

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.2%
2-010.1%
2-19.9%
1-09.2%
3-07.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Mallorca vs Córdoba?

Our prediction for Mallorca vs Córdoba is Mallorca to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Mallorca or Draw at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Mallorca vs Córdoba?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 2-1. We expect Mallorca to score 2.1 goals and Córdoba 1.0.

Will both teams score in Mallorca vs Córdoba?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Mallorca last 20 games and 14 of Córdoba last 20.

How are Mallorca playing?

Mallorca have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, D, newest first.

How are Córdoba playing?

Córdoba have 10 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Mallorca vs Córdoba?

Mallorca or Draw at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Mallorca against Córdoba. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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