EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Spain › Mallorca vs Las Palmas
LaLiga 2Sun 11 Oct, 16:30 Spain time

Mallorca vs Las Palmas prediction

Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

MallorcaHome
1.75 : 0.88
expected goals
Las PalmasAway
57%Mallorca
25%Draw
18%Las Palmas
Eagle safe pickMallorca or Draw
1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for Mallorca vs Las Palmas is Mallorca to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Mallorca or Draw at 1.26.

Prediction
Mallorca to win
Chance
57%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Mallorca 1.8, Las Palmas 0.9
Best bet
Mallorca or Draw at 1.26
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Mallorca or Draw
80% chanceFair price 1.262 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Mallorca to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price 3.051 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Mallorca 57%, the draw 25% and Las Palmas 18%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Mallorca took 10 points from their last 5 games and Las Palmas took 4 from 5. Mallorca come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Mallorca won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Las Palmas won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Mallorca score 1.3 goals a game and let in 0.9. Las Palmas score 1.4 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Mallorca games and 11 of Las Palmas games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Mallorca or Draw has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Mallorcarecent form+3%
  • Las Palmasrecent form-3%
Mallorca form L W W D WLas Palmas form L L W D LHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Mallorca vs Las Palmas: Mallorca are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Mallorca host Las Palmas in the LaLiga 2 on Sun 11 Oct, 16:30 at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix. Our prediction for Mallorca vs Las Palmas is Mallorca to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Mallorca or Draw at 1.26.

Mallorca form

Mallorca have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Las Palmas form

Las Palmas have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Mallorca to score about 1.8 goals and Las Palmas about 0.9. That points to Mallorca to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Mallorca or Draw at 1.26. Our bold bet is Mallorca to win and Over 2.5 at 3.05.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MallorcaLas Palmas
Games played2020
Wins910
Draws43
Losses77
Goals scored2628
Goals conceded1929
Scored per game1.31.4
Conceded per game0.91.4
Home record7W 2D 2L5W 2D 2L
Away record2W 2D 5L5W 1D 5L
Clean sheets40%25%
Both teams scored40%65%
Over 2.5 goals45%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.34
Over 2.5 goals49%2.05
Over 3.5 goals27%3.71
Both teams to score49%2.04
Mallorca or Draw82%1.22
Las Palmas or Draw43%2.34
Mallorca to win and Over 2.534%2.92
Las Palmas to win and Over 2.510%10.51
Mallorca clean sheet42%2.41
Las Palmas clean sheet17%5.74

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-012.0%
1-111.8%
2-011.0%
2-19.7%
0-07.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Mallorca vs Las Palmas?

Our prediction for Mallorca vs Las Palmas is Mallorca to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Mallorca or Draw at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Mallorca vs Las Palmas?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect Mallorca to score 1.8 goals and Las Palmas 0.9.

Will both teams score in Mallorca vs Las Palmas?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Mallorca last 20 games and 13 of Las Palmas last 20.

How are Mallorca playing?

Mallorca have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, W, newest first.

How are Las Palmas playing?

Las Palmas have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Mallorca vs Las Palmas?

Mallorca or Draw at 1.26, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Mallorca against Las Palmas. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.