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Predictions › Sweden › Malmö FF vs BK Häcken
AllsvenskanSun 18 Oct, 14:30 Sweden time

Malmö FF vs BK Häcken prediction

Eleda Stadion

Malmö FFHome
1.50 : 2.10
expected goals
BK HäckenAway
27%Malmö
22%Draw
51%BK Häcken
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Malmö FF vs BK Häcken is BK Häcken to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

Prediction
BK Häcken to win
Chance
51%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Malmö FF 1.5, BK Häcken 2.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.17
Both teams to score
69%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.172 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

BK Häcken to win and Over 2.5
37% chanceFair price 2.691 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Malmö FF 27%, the draw 22% and BK Häcken 51%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Malmö FF took 7 points from their last 5 games and BK Häcken took 8 from 5. BK Häcken come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Malmö FF won 3 of their last 10 games at home. BK Häcken won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Malmö FF score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.6. BK Häcken score 1.8 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Malmö FF games and 11 of BK Häcken games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Malmö FF won 0 and BK Häcken won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended BK Häcken 3, Malmö FF 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • BK Häckenrecent form+1%
Malmö form L W D W LBK Häcken form W D D L WHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Malmö FF vs BK Häcken: BK Häcken are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Malmö FF host BK Häcken in the Allsvenskan on Sun 18 Oct, 14:30 at Eleda Stadion. Our prediction for Malmö FF vs BK Häcken is BK Häcken to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

Malmö FF form

Malmö FF have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, L, newest first.

BK Häcken form

BK Häcken have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Malmö FF won 0, BK Häcken won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished BK Häcken 3, Malmö FF 2.

Our call

We expect Malmö FF to score about 1.5 goals and BK Häcken about 2.1. That points to BK Häcken to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17. Our bold bet is BK Häcken to win and Over 2.5 at 2.69.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MalmöBK Häcken
Games played2020
Wins98
Draws28
Losses94
Goals scored3335
Goals conceded3128
Scored per game1.61.8
Conceded per game1.61.4
Home record3W 1D 6L4W 4D 2L
Away record6W 1D 3L4W 4D 2L
Clean sheets35%35%
Both teams scored55%60%
Over 2.5 goals65%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals88%1.14
Over 2.5 goals70%1.43
Over 3.5 goals49%2.06
Both teams to score69%1.45
Malmö FF or Draw49%2.04
BK Häcken or Draw73%1.37
Malmö FF to win and Over 2.520%4.90
BK Häcken to win and Over 2.540%2.52
Malmö FF clean sheet12%8.18
BK Häcken clean sheet22%4.50

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-19.1%
1-29.0%
2-26.8%
2-16.5%
1-36.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Malmö FF vs BK Häcken?

Our prediction for Malmö FF vs BK Häcken is BK Häcken to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Malmö FF vs BK Häcken?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-2. We expect Malmö FF to score 1.5 goals and BK Häcken 2.1.

Will both teams score in Malmö FF vs BK Häcken?

Both teams to score has a 69% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Malmö FF last 20 games and 12 of BK Häcken last 20.

How are Malmö FF playing?

Malmö FF have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, L, newest first.

How are BK Häcken playing?

BK Häcken have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Malmö FF and BK Häcken last met?

It ended BK Häcken 3, Malmö FF 2. In the last 2 meetings Malmö FF won 0 and BK Häcken won 1.

What is the best bet for Malmö FF vs BK Häcken?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.17, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Malmö against BK Häcken. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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