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Predictions › Sweden › Malmö FF vs Hammarby IF
AllsvenskanSun 1 Nov, 13:00 Sweden time

Malmö FF vs Hammarby IF prediction

Eleda Stadion

Malmö FFHome
1.31 : 1.53
expected goals
Hammarby IFAway
32%Malmö
26%Draw
42%Hammarby
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Malmö FF vs Hammarby IF is Hammarby IF to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction
Hammarby IF to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Malmö FF 1.3, Hammarby IF 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score
58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 1.282 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Hammarby IF to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.881 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Malmö FF 32%, the draw 26% and Hammarby IF 42%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Malmö FF took 7 points from their last 5 games and Hammarby IF took 10 from 5. Hammarby IF come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Malmö FF won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Hammarby IF won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Malmö FF score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.4. Hammarby IF score 1.9 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Malmö FF games and 10 of Hammarby IF games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Malmö FF won 0 and Hammarby IF won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Hammarby IF 4, Malmö FF 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Malmörecent form+1%
  • Hammarbyrecent form+1%
Malmö form D W L W DHammarby form D L W W DHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Malmö FF vs Hammarby IF: Hammarby IF shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Malmö FF host Hammarby IF in the Allsvenskan on Sun 1 Nov, 13:00 at Eleda Stadion. Our prediction for Malmö FF vs Hammarby IF is Hammarby IF to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Malmö FF form

Malmö FF have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Hammarby IF form

Hammarby IF have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Malmö FF won 0, Hammarby IF won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Hammarby IF 4, Malmö FF 1.

Our call

We expect Malmö FF to score about 1.3 goals and Hammarby IF about 1.5. That points to Hammarby IF to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is Hammarby IF to win and Over 2.5 at 3.88.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MalmöHammarby
Games played2020
Wins912
Draws23
Losses95
Goals scored3138
Goals conceded2917
Scored per game1.61.9
Conceded per game1.40.8
Home record4W 1D 6L7W 0D 2L
Away record5W 1D 3L5W 3D 3L
Clean sheets35%45%
Both teams scored50%45%
Over 2.5 goals60%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals78%1.28
Over 2.5 goals54%1.86
Over 3.5 goals32%3.17
Both teams to score58%1.73
Malmö FF or Draw58%1.72
Hammarby IF or Draw68%1.47
Malmö FF to win and Over 2.520%5.04
Hammarby IF to win and Over 2.527%3.75
Malmö FF clean sheet22%4.61
Hammarby IF clean sheet27%3.69

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.4%
1-29.0%
0-18.3%
2-17.7%
1-07.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Malmö FF vs Hammarby IF?

Our prediction for Malmö FF vs Hammarby IF is Hammarby IF to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Malmö FF vs Hammarby IF?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Malmö FF to score 1.3 goals and Hammarby IF 1.5.

Will both teams score in Malmö FF vs Hammarby IF?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Malmö FF last 20 games and 9 of Hammarby IF last 20.

How are Malmö FF playing?

Malmö FF have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, D, newest first.

How are Hammarby IF playing?

Hammarby IF have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Malmö FF and Hammarby IF last met?

It ended Hammarby IF 4, Malmö FF 1. In the last 2 meetings Malmö FF won 0 and Hammarby IF won 2.

What is the best bet for Malmö FF vs Hammarby IF?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Malmö against Hammarby. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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