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Predictions › Sweden › Malmö FF vs Kalmar FF
AllsvenskanMon 12 Oct, 17:00 Sweden time

Malmö FF vs Kalmar FF prediction

Eleda Stadion

Malmö FFHome
1.99 : 0.95
expected goals
Kalmar FFAway
61%Malmö
22%Draw
17%Kalmar FF
Eagle safe pickMalmö FF or Draw
1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for Malmö FF vs Kalmar FF is Malmö FF to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Malmö FF or Draw at 1.24.

Prediction
Malmö FF to win
Chance
61%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Malmö FF 2.0, Kalmar FF 0.9
Best bet
Malmö FF or Draw at 1.24
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Malmö FF or Draw
81% chanceFair price 1.242 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Malmö FF to win and Over 2.5
38% chanceFair price 2.631 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Malmö FF 61%, the draw 22% and Kalmar FF 17%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Malmö FF took 7 points from their last 5 games and Kalmar FF took 1 from 5. Malmö FF come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Malmö FF won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Kalmar FF won 0 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Malmö FF score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.6. Kalmar FF score 0.9 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Malmö FF games and 10 of Kalmar FF games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Malmö FF won 0 and Kalmar FF won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Kalmar FF 2, Malmö FF 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Malmö FF or Draw has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Kalmar FFrecent form-6%
Malmö form L W D W LKalmar FF form L L L L DHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Malmö FF vs Kalmar FF: Malmö FF are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Malmö FF host Kalmar FF in the Allsvenskan on Mon 12 Oct, 17:00 at Eleda Stadion. Our prediction for Malmö FF vs Kalmar FF is Malmö FF to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Malmö FF or Draw at 1.24.

Malmö FF form

Malmö FF have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, L, newest first.

Kalmar FF form

Kalmar FF have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Malmö FF won 0, Kalmar FF won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Kalmar FF 2, Malmö FF 2.

Our call

We expect Malmö FF to score about 2.0 goals and Kalmar FF about 0.9. That points to Malmö FF to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Malmö FF or Draw at 1.24. Our bold bet is Malmö FF to win and Over 2.5 at 2.63.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MalmöKalmar FF
Games played2020
Wins95
Draws24
Losses911
Goals scored3319
Goals conceded3132
Scored per game1.60.9
Conceded per game1.61.6
Home record3W 1D 6L5W 2D 3L
Away record6W 1D 3L0W 2D 8L
Clean sheets35%15%
Both teams scored55%40%
Over 2.5 goals65%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals80%1.25
Over 2.5 goals56%1.78
Over 3.5 goals34%2.95
Both teams to score54%1.86
Malmö FF or Draw83%1.20
Kalmar FF or Draw39%2.55
Malmö FF to win and Over 2.540%2.47
Kalmar FF to win and Over 2.510%9.98
Malmö FF clean sheet38%2.60
Kalmar FF clean sheet14%7.28

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.6%
2-010.4%
2-19.9%
1-09.9%
3-06.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Malmö FF vs Kalmar FF?

Our prediction for Malmö FF vs Kalmar FF is Malmö FF to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Malmö FF or Draw at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for Malmö FF vs Kalmar FF?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 2-1. We expect Malmö FF to score 2.0 goals and Kalmar FF 0.9.

Will both teams score in Malmö FF vs Kalmar FF?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Malmö FF last 20 games and 8 of Kalmar FF last 20.

How are Malmö FF playing?

Malmö FF have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, L, newest first.

How are Kalmar FF playing?

Kalmar FF have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Malmö FF and Kalmar FF last met?

It ended Kalmar FF 2, Malmö FF 2. In the last 1 meeting Malmö FF won 0 and Kalmar FF won 0.

What is the best bet for Malmö FF vs Kalmar FF?

Malmö FF or Draw at 1.24, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Malmö against Kalmar FF. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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