EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › United Kingdom › Mansfield Town vs Milton Keynes Dons
League OneSat 21 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Mansfield Town vs Milton Keynes Dons prediction

One Call Stadium

Mansfield TownHome
1.59 : 1.24
expected goals
Milton Keynes DonsAway
45%Mansfield
26%Draw
29%MK Dons
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
2/7

Quick answer

Our prediction for Mansfield Town vs Milton Keynes Dons is Mansfield Town to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7.

Prediction
Mansfield Town to win
Chance
45%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Mansfield Town 1.6, Milton Keynes Dons 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 2/7
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 2/72 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Mansfield Town to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price 13/51 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Mansfield Town 45%, the draw 26% and Milton Keynes Dons 29%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Mansfield Town took 10 points from their last 5 games and Milton Keynes Dons took 12 from 5. Milton Keynes Dons come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Mansfield Town won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Milton Keynes Dons won 2 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Mansfield Town score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.4. Milton Keynes Dons score 1.8 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Mansfield Town games and 11 of Milton Keynes Dons games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Mansfieldrecent form+1%
  • MK Donsrecent form+7%
Mansfield form D W D L WMK Dons form W W W W WHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Mansfield Town vs Milton Keynes Dons: Mansfield Town shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Mansfield Town host Milton Keynes Dons in the League One on Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 at One Call Stadium. Our prediction for Mansfield Town vs Milton Keynes Dons is Mansfield Town to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7.

Mansfield Town form

Mansfield Town have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, W, newest first.

Milton Keynes Dons form

Milton Keynes Dons have 7 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 18 games, with 32 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Mansfield Town to score about 1.6 goals and Milton Keynes Dons about 1.2. That points to Mansfield Town to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7. Our bold bet is Mansfield Town to win and Over 2.5 at 13/5.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MansfieldMK Dons
Games played2018
Wins97
Draws67
Losses54
Goals scored3532
Goals conceded2829
Scored per game1.81.8
Conceded per game1.41.6
Home record5W 3D 2L5W 4D 1L
Away record4W 3D 3L2W 3D 3L
Clean sheets30%17%
Both teams scored50%78%
Over 2.5 goals65%61%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals78%2/7
Over 2.5 goals54%5/6
Over 3.5 goals31%11/5
Both teams to score57%8/11
Mansfield Town or Draw71%2/5
Milton Keynes Dons or Draw55%4/5
Mansfield Town to win and Over 2.529%5/2
Milton Keynes Dons to win and Over 2.518%9/2
Mansfield Town clean sheet29%5/2
Milton Keynes Dons clean sheet20%4/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.3%
2-19.2%
1-08.7%
2-07.4%
1-27.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Mansfield Town vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Our prediction for Mansfield Town vs Milton Keynes Dons is Mansfield Town to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7.

What is the score prediction for Mansfield Town vs Milton Keynes Dons?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Mansfield Town to score 1.6 goals and Milton Keynes Dons 1.2.

Will both teams score in Mansfield Town vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Mansfield Town last 20 games and 14 of Milton Keynes Dons last 18.

How are Mansfield Town playing?

Mansfield Town have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Milton Keynes Dons playing?

Milton Keynes Dons have 7 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 18 games, with 32 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Mansfield Town vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Over 1.5 goals at 2/7, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Mansfield against MK Dons. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.