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Predictions › United Kingdom › Mansfield Town vs Notts County
League OneSat 31 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Mansfield Town vs Notts County prediction

One Call Stadium

Mansfield TownHome
1.69 : 0.90
expected goals
Notts CountyAway
55%Mansfield
25%Draw
19%Notts County
Eagle safe pickMansfield Town or Draw
1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Mansfield Town vs Notts County is Mansfield Town to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Mansfield Town or Draw at 1/4.

Prediction
Mansfield Town to win
Chance
55%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Mansfield Town 1.7, Notts County 0.9
Best bet
Mansfield Town or Draw at 1/4
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Mansfield Town or Draw
80% chanceFair price 1/42 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Mansfield Town to win and Over 2.5
32% chanceFair price 11/51 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Mansfield Town 55%, the draw 25% and Notts County 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Mansfield Town took 9 points from their last 5 games and Notts County took 3 from 5. Mansfield Town come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Mansfield Town won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Notts County won 0 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Mansfield Town score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.4. Notts County score 1.1 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Mansfield Town games and 4 of Notts County games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Mansfield Town or Draw has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Mansfieldrest between games-5%
  • Notts Countyrest between games-5%
Mansfield form D D W L DNotts County form D L W L WHome edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Mansfield Town vs Notts County: Mansfield Town are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Mansfield Town host Notts County in the League One on Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 at One Call Stadium. Our prediction for Mansfield Town vs Notts County is Mansfield Town to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Mansfield Town or Draw at 1/4.

Mansfield Town form

Mansfield Town have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, D, newest first.

Notts County form

Notts County have 2 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 12 games, with 13 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Mansfield Town to score about 1.7 goals and Notts County about 0.9. That points to Mansfield Town to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Mansfield Town or Draw at 1/4. Our bold bet is Mansfield Town to win and Over 2.5 at 11/5.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MansfieldNotts County
Games played2012
Wins82
Draws76
Losses54
Goals scored3113
Goals conceded2716
Scored per game1.61.1
Conceded per game1.41.3
Home record4W 4D 1L2W 1D 2L
Away record4W 3D 4L0W 5D 2L
Clean sheets35%8%
Both teams scored50%67%
Over 2.5 goals60%33%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%4/11
Over 2.5 goals48%11/10
Over 3.5 goals26%11/4
Both teams to score49%21/20
Mansfield Town or Draw81%1/4
Notts County or Draw45%5/4
Mansfield Town to win and Over 2.533%85/40
Notts County to win and Over 2.510%9/1
Mansfield Town clean sheet41%6/4
Notts County clean sheet18%9/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.1%
1-012.0%
2-010.7%
2-19.6%
0-08.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Mansfield Town vs Notts County?

Our prediction for Mansfield Town vs Notts County is Mansfield Town to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Mansfield Town or Draw at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Mansfield Town vs Notts County?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Mansfield Town to score 1.7 goals and Notts County 0.9.

Will both teams score in Mansfield Town vs Notts County?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Mansfield Town last 20 games and 8 of Notts County last 12.

How are Mansfield Town playing?

Mansfield Town have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, D, newest first.

How are Notts County playing?

Notts County have 2 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 12 games, with 13 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Mansfield Town vs Notts County?

Mansfield Town or Draw at 1/4, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Mansfield against Notts County. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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