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Predictions › Italy › Mantova vs Cremonese
Serie BTue 27 Oct, 19:00 Italy time

Mantova vs Cremonese prediction

Stadio Danilo Martelli

MantovaHome
1.54 : 1.03
expected goals
CremoneseAway
48%Mantova
27%Draw
25%Cremonese
Eagle safe pickMantova or Draw
1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for Mantova vs Cremonese is Mantova to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Mantova or Draw at 1.32.

Prediction
Mantova to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Mantova 1.5, Cremonese 1.0
Best bet
Mantova or Draw at 1.32
Both teams to score
51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Mantova or Draw
75% chanceFair price 1.322 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Mantova to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 3.691 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Mantova 48%, the draw 27% and Cremonese 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Mantova took 8 points from their last 5 games and Cremonese took 6 from 5. Mantova come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Mantova won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Cremonese won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Mantova score 1.7 goals a game and let in 1.3. Cremonese score 0.8 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Mantova games and 12 of Cremonese games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Mantova or Draw has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Mantovarecent form+3%
  • Cremoneserecent form+1%
  • Mantovarest between games-5%
  • Cremoneserest between games-5%
Mantova form D W D W DCremonese form D D D D WHome edge in this league 30% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Mantova vs Cremonese: Mantova are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Mantova host Cremonese in the Serie B on Tue 27 Oct, 19:00 at Stadio Danilo Martelli. Our prediction for Mantova vs Cremonese is Mantova to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Mantova or Draw at 1.32.

Mantova form

Mantova have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, D, newest first.

Cremonese form

Cremonese have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, D, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Mantova to score about 1.5 goals and Cremonese about 1.0. That points to Mantova to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Mantova or Draw at 1.32. Our bold bet is Mantova to win and Over 2.5 at 3.69.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MantovaCremonese
Games played2020
Wins114
Draws44
Losses512
Goals scored3417
Goals conceded2534
Scored per game1.70.8
Conceded per game1.31.7
Home record7W 2D 2L2W 2D 6L
Away record4W 2D 3L2W 2D 6L
Clean sheets30%30%
Both teams scored55%40%
Over 2.5 goals60%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%1.36
Over 2.5 goals47%2.11
Over 3.5 goals26%3.87
Both teams to score51%1.95
Mantova or Draw75%1.33
Cremonese or Draw52%1.94
Mantova to win and Over 2.528%3.53
Cremonese to win and Over 2.513%7.45
Mantova clean sheet36%2.80
Cremonese clean sheet21%4.67

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.9%
1-011.0%
2-19.4%
2-09.1%
0-08.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Mantova vs Cremonese?

Our prediction for Mantova vs Cremonese is Mantova to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Mantova or Draw at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Mantova vs Cremonese?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Mantova to score 1.5 goals and Cremonese 1.0.

Will both teams score in Mantova vs Cremonese?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Mantova last 20 games and 8 of Cremonese last 20.

How are Mantova playing?

Mantova have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, D, newest first.

How are Cremonese playing?

Cremonese have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, D, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Mantova vs Cremonese?

Mantova or Draw at 1.32, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Mantova against Cremonese. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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