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Predictions › Italy › Mantova vs Hellas Verona
Serie BSat 7 Nov, 16:15 Italy time

Mantova vs Hellas Verona prediction

Stadio Danilo Martelli

MantovaHome
1.75 : 1.39
expected goals
Hellas VeronaAway
45%Mantova
25%Draw
30%Verona
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Mantova vs Hellas Verona is Mantova to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction
Mantova to win
Chance
45%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Mantova 1.8, Hellas Verona 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score
63%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Mantova to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 3.271 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Mantova 45%, the draw 25% and Hellas Verona 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Mantova took 7 points from their last 5 games and Hellas Verona took 5 from 5. Mantova come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Mantova won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Hellas Verona won 1 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Mantova score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.3. Hellas Verona score 1.1 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Mantova games and 9 of Hellas Verona games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Mantovarecent form+1%
  • Veronarecent form-1%
  • Mantovarest between games-5%
Mantova form D W L W DVerona form D D L W LHome edge in this league 28% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Mantova vs Hellas Verona: Mantova are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Mantova host Hellas Verona in the Serie B on Sat 7 Nov, 16:15 at Stadio Danilo Martelli. Our prediction for Mantova vs Hellas Verona is Mantova to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Mantova form

Mantova have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Hellas Verona form

Hellas Verona have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Mantova to score about 1.8 goals and Hellas Verona about 1.4. That points to Mantova to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Mantova to win and Over 2.5 at 3.27.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MantovaVerona
Games played2020
Wins113
Draws36
Losses611
Goals scored3221
Goals conceded2528
Scored per game1.61.1
Conceded per game1.31.4
Home record6W 1D 3L2W 3D 7L
Away record5W 2D 3L1W 3D 4L
Clean sheets35%10%
Both teams scored45%60%
Over 2.5 goals55%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%1.21
Over 2.5 goals61%1.65
Over 3.5 goals38%2.61
Both teams to score63%1.60
Mantova or Draw70%1.43
Hellas Verona or Draw55%1.83
Mantova to win and Over 2.532%3.15
Hellas Verona to win and Over 2.520%4.88
Mantova clean sheet25%4.02
Hellas Verona clean sheet17%5.73

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.2%
2-19.2%
1-27.3%
1-06.9%
2-06.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Mantova vs Hellas Verona?

Our prediction for Mantova vs Hellas Verona is Mantova to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Mantova vs Hellas Verona?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Mantova to score 1.8 goals and Hellas Verona 1.4.

Will both teams score in Mantova vs Hellas Verona?

Both teams to score has a 63% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Mantova last 20 games and 12 of Hellas Verona last 20.

How are Mantova playing?

Mantova have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, D, newest first.

How are Hellas Verona playing?

Hellas Verona have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Mantova vs Hellas Verona?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Mantova against Verona. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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