EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Portugal › Maritimo vs Santa Clara
Primeira LigaSun 1 Nov, 18:00 Portugal time

Maritimo vs Santa Clara prediction

Estádio do Marítimo

MaritimoHome
0.94 : 1.45
expected goals
Santa ClaraAway
24%Maritimo
28%Draw
48%Santa Clara
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Maritimo vs Santa Clara is Santa Clara to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction
Santa Clara to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Maritimo 0.9, Santa Clara 1.4
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score
47%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 1.282 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.541 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Maritimo 24%, the draw 28% and Santa Clara 48%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Maritimo took 1 point from their last 5 games and Santa Clara took 11 from 5. Santa Clara come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Maritimo won 1 of their last 4 games at home. Santa Clara won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Maritimo score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.8. Santa Clara score 1.4 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Maritimo games and 7 of Santa Clara games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Maritimorecent form-4%
  • Santa Clararecent form+4%
Maritimo form D L D L LSanta Clara form D W D W WHome edge in this league 18% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Maritimo vs Santa Clara: Santa Clara are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Maritimo host Santa Clara in the Primeira Liga on Sun 1 Nov, 18:00 at Estádio do Marítimo. Our prediction for Maritimo vs Santa Clara is Santa Clara to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

Maritimo form

Maritimo have 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 8 games, with 9 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, L, newest first.

Santa Clara form

Santa Clara have 10 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Maritimo to score about 0.9 goals and Santa Clara about 1.4. That points to Santa Clara to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.54.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MaritimoSanta Clara
Games played820
Wins210
Draws27
Losses43
Goals scored927
Goals conceded1417
Scored per game1.11.4
Conceded per game1.80.8
Home record1W 1D 2L6W 2D 1L
Away record1W 1D 2L4W 5D 2L
Clean sheets13%50%
Both teams scored75%40%
Over 2.5 goals75%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals70%1.44
Over 2.5 goals43%2.34
Over 3.5 goals22%4.58
Both teams to score47%2.11
Maritimo or Draw52%1.92
Santa Clara or Draw76%1.31
Maritimo to win and Over 2.512%8.46
Santa Clara to win and Over 2.526%3.86
Maritimo clean sheet24%4.24
Santa Clara clean sheet39%2.56

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.3%
0-112.5%
0-010.0%
0-29.6%
1-29.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Maritimo vs Santa Clara?

Our prediction for Maritimo vs Santa Clara is Santa Clara to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Maritimo vs Santa Clara?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Maritimo to score 0.9 goals and Santa Clara 1.4.

Will both teams score in Maritimo vs Santa Clara?

Both teams to score has a 47% chance. Both sides scored in 6 of Maritimo last 8 games and 8 of Santa Clara last 20.

How are Maritimo playing?

Maritimo have 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 8 games, with 9 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Santa Clara playing?

Santa Clara have 10 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Maritimo vs Santa Clara?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Maritimo against Santa Clara. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.