Predictions › United States › Marshall Thundering Herd vs Georgia Southern Eagles
College FootballSat 7 Nov, 15:30 United States time

Marshall Thundering Herd vs Georgia Southern Eagles prediction

Allen E. Paulson Stadium

Marshall Thundering HerdAway
24.9 : 33.0
projected points
Georgia Southern EaglesHome
30%Marshall
70%GA Southern
Eagle safe pickMarshall +18.5
-305

Quick answer

Our prediction for Marshall Thundering Herd vs Georgia Southern Eagles is Georgia Southern Eagles to win, with a 70% chance. We project Marshall Thundering Herd 24.9 and Georgia Southern Eagles 33.0. Our best bet is Marshall +18.5 at -305.

Prediction
Georgia Southern Eagles to win
Chance
70%
Projected score
Marshall Thundering Herd 25, Georgia Southern Eagles 33
Projected total
57.9 points
Best bet
Marshall +18.5 at -305

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Marshall +18.5
75% chanceFair price -3052 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Marshall to win
29% chanceFair price +2421 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Georgia Southern Eagles 70% and Marshall Thundering Herd 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Georgia Southern Eagles won 2 of their last 5 and Marshall Thundering Herd won 3 of their last 5. Marshall Thundering Herd come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Georgia Southern Eagles won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Marshall Thundering Herd won 3 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Georgia Southern Eagles score 27.8 points a game and let in 26.7. Marshall Thundering Herd score 29.1 and let in 30.1. Their recent games average 54.4 and 59.2 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Georgia Southern Eagles won 1 and Marshall Thundering Herd won 0. The last one ended Marshall Thundering Herd 19, Georgia Southern Eagles 24.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Marshall +18.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Marshall Thundering Herd vs Georgia Southern Eagles: Georgia Southern Eagles are favourites

The big picture

Georgia Southern Eagles host Marshall Thundering Herd in the College Football on Sat 7 Nov, 15:30 at Allen E. Paulson Stadium. Our prediction for Marshall Thundering Herd vs Georgia Southern Eagles is Georgia Southern Eagles to win, with a 70% chance. We project Marshall Thundering Herd 24.9 and Georgia Southern Eagles 33.0. Our best bet is Marshall +18.5 at -305.

Georgia Southern Eagles form

Georgia Southern Eagles have 10 wins and 8 losses in their last 18 games, with 500 points scored and 480 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Marshall Thundering Herd form

Marshall Thundering Herd have 9 wins and 8 losses in their last 17 games, with 494 points scored and 512 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Georgia Southern Eagles won 1, Marshall Thundering Herd won 0. Last time out it finished Marshall Thundering Herd 19, Georgia Southern Eagles 24.

Our call

We expect Marshall Thundering Herd to score about 24.9 points and Georgia Southern Eagles about 33.0. That points to Georgia Southern Eagles to win. Our safest bet is Marshall +18.5 at -305. Our bold bet is Marshall to win at +242.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 18 games in all competitions.

GA SouthernMarshall
Games played1817
Wins109
Losses88
Points scored500494
Points conceded480512
Scored per game27.829.1
Conceded per game26.730.1
Home record5W 4L6W 3L
Away record5W 4L3W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

GA Southern spreadCoversFair
GA Southern -15.532%+212
GA Southern -11.541%+141
GA Southern -8.549%+105
GA Southern -5.556%-129
GA Southern -1.566%-193
Total pointsOverUnder
50.568%32%
54.558%42%
57.551%49%
60.543%57%
64.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. GA Southern +3.5 wins if GA Southern win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Marshall Thundering Herd vs Georgia Southern Eagles?

Our prediction for Marshall Thundering Herd vs Georgia Southern Eagles is Georgia Southern Eagles to win, with a 70% chance. We project Marshall Thundering Herd 24.9 and Georgia Southern Eagles 33.0. Our best bet is Marshall +18.5 at -305.

What is the projected score for Marshall Thundering Herd vs Georgia Southern Eagles?

We project Marshall Thundering Herd 24.9 and Georgia Southern Eagles 33.0, about 57.9 points in total.

How are Georgia Southern Eagles playing?

Georgia Southern Eagles have 10 wins and 8 losses in their last 18 games, with 500 points scored and 480 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Marshall Thundering Herd playing?

Marshall Thundering Herd have 9 wins and 8 losses in their last 17 games, with 494 points scored and 512 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Georgia Southern Eagles and Marshall Thundering Herd last met?

It ended Marshall Thundering Herd 19, Georgia Southern Eagles 24. In the last 1 meeting Georgia Southern Eagles won 1 and Marshall Thundering Herd won 0.

What is the best bet for Marshall Thundering Herd vs Georgia Southern Eagles?

Marshall +18.5 at -305, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in GA Southern against Marshall. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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