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Predictions › United States › Marshall Thundering Herd vs James Madison Dukes
College FootballSat 3 Oct, 15:45 United States time

Marshall Thundering Herd vs James Madison Dukes prediction

Bridgeforth Stadium

Marshall Thundering HerdAway
18.4 : 36.6
projected points
James Madison DukesHome
15%Marshall
85%James Madison
Eagle safe pickJames Madison -7.5
-302

Quick answer

Our prediction for Marshall Thundering Herd vs James Madison Dukes is James Madison Dukes to win, with a 85% chance. We project Marshall Thundering Herd 18.4 and James Madison Dukes 36.6. Our best bet is James Madison -7.5 at -302.

Prediction
James Madison Dukes to win
Chance
85%
Projected score
Marshall Thundering Herd 18, James Madison Dukes 37
Projected total
55.0 points
Best bet
James Madison -7.5 at -302

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

James Madison -7.5
75% chanceFair price -3022 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives James Madison Dukes 85% and Marshall Thundering Herd 15%. The bookmakers agree and make James Madison Dukes the favourite at -1000.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    James Madison Dukes won 4 of their last 5 and Marshall Thundering Herd won 3 of their last 5. James Madison Dukes come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    James Madison Dukes won 8 of their last 8 games at home. Marshall Thundering Herd won 3 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    James Madison Dukes score 39.9 points a game and let in 16.8. Marshall Thundering Herd score 31.1 and let in 30.5. Their recent games average 56.7 and 61.6 points in total, and the market line is 54.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, James Madison Dukes won 1 and Marshall Thundering Herd won 0. The last one ended Marshall Thundering Herd 23, James Madison Dukes 35.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    James Madison -7.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • James Madisonrest between games-5%
  • Marshallrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Marshall Thundering Herd vs James Madison Dukes: James Madison Dukes are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

James Madison Dukes host Marshall Thundering Herd in the College Football on Sat 3 Oct, 15:45 at Bridgeforth Stadium. Our prediction for Marshall Thundering Herd vs James Madison Dukes is James Madison Dukes to win, with a 85% chance. We project Marshall Thundering Herd 18.4 and James Madison Dukes 36.6. Our best bet is James Madison -7.5 at -302.

James Madison Dukes form

James Madison Dukes have 15 wins and 1 loss in their last 16 games, with 639 points scored and 268 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 0 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Marshall Thundering Herd form

Marshall Thundering Herd have 8 wins and 6 losses in their last 14 games, with 436 points scored and 427 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. James Madison Dukes won 1, Marshall Thundering Herd won 0. Last time out it finished Marshall Thundering Herd 23, James Madison Dukes 35.

Our call

We expect Marshall Thundering Herd to score about 18.4 points and James Madison Dukes about 36.6. That points to James Madison Dukes to win. Our safest bet is James Madison -7.5 at -302.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 16 games in all competitions.

James MadisonMarshall
Games played1614
Wins158
Losses16
Points scored639436
Points conceded268427
Scored per game39.931.1
Conceded per game16.830.5
Home record8W 0L5W 2L
Away record7W 1L3W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
James Madison to win85%-558-1000-6.7%
Marshall to win12%+741+650-10.8%
James Madison -17.548%+106-115-9.3%
Marshall +17.545%+121-105-11.7%
Over 54.5 points48%+108-115-10.1%
Under 54.5 points46%+119-105-10.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

James Madison spreadCoversFair
James Madison -25.532%+210
James Madison -21.542%+140
James Madison -18.549%+104
James Madison -15.557%-130
James Madison -11.566%-195
Total pointsOverUnder
47.568%32%
51.559%41%
54.551%49%
57.544%56%
61.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. James Madison +3.5 wins if James Madison win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Marshall Thundering Herd vs James Madison Dukes?

Our prediction for Marshall Thundering Herd vs James Madison Dukes is James Madison Dukes to win, with a 85% chance. We project Marshall Thundering Herd 18.4 and James Madison Dukes 36.6. Our best bet is James Madison -7.5 at -302.

What is the projected score for Marshall Thundering Herd vs James Madison Dukes?

We project Marshall Thundering Herd 18.4 and James Madison Dukes 36.6, about 55.0 points in total.

How are James Madison Dukes playing?

James Madison Dukes have 15 wins and 1 loss in their last 16 games, with 639 points scored and 268 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 0 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Marshall Thundering Herd playing?

Marshall Thundering Herd have 8 wins and 6 losses in their last 14 games, with 436 points scored and 427 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when James Madison Dukes and Marshall Thundering Herd last met?

It ended Marshall Thundering Herd 23, James Madison Dukes 35. In the last 1 meeting James Madison Dukes won 1 and Marshall Thundering Herd won 0.

What is the best bet for Marshall Thundering Herd vs James Madison Dukes?

James Madison -7.5 at -302, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in James Madison against Marshall. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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