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Predictions › South Africa › Marumo Gallants vs Siwelele
South African PremiershipFri 30 Oct, 19:30 South Africa time

Marumo Gallants vs Siwelele prediction

Royal Bafokeng Stadium

Marumo GallantsHome
1.16 : 0.92
expected goals
SiweleleAway
40%Marumo
31%Draw
28%Siwelele
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Marumo Gallants vs Siwelele is Marumo Gallants to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20.

Prediction
Marumo Gallants to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Marumo Gallants 1.2, Siwelele 0.9
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.20
Both teams to score
42%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.071 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Marumo Gallants 40%, the draw 31% and Siwelele 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Marumo Gallants took 1 point from their last 5 games and Siwelele took 5 from 5. Siwelele come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Marumo Gallants won 0 of their last 11 games at home. Siwelele won 0 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Marumo Gallants score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.4. Siwelele score 1.1 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Marumo Gallants games and 6 of Siwelele games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Marumo Gallants won 0 and Siwelele won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Marumo Gallants 0, Siwelele 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Marumorecent form-4%
  • Siwelelerecent form-3%
  • Siwelelerest between games-2%
Marumo form D L L D LSiwelele form D D L L DHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Marumo Gallants vs Siwelele: Marumo Gallants shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Marumo Gallants host Siwelele in the South African Premiership on Fri 30 Oct, 19:30 at Royal Bafokeng Stadium. Our prediction for Marumo Gallants vs Siwelele is Marumo Gallants to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20.

Marumo Gallants form

Marumo Gallants have 1 win, 9 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Siwelele form

Siwelele have 4 wins, 10 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Marumo Gallants won 0, Siwelele won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Marumo Gallants 0, Siwelele 0.

Our call

We expect Marumo Gallants to score about 1.2 goals and Siwelele about 0.9. That points to Marumo Gallants to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.07.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MarumoSiwelele
Games played2020
Wins14
Draws910
Losses106
Goals scored1521
Goals conceded2927
Scored per game0.81.1
Conceded per game1.41.4
Home record0W 7D 4L4W 6D 0L
Away record1W 2D 6L0W 4D 6L
Clean sheets20%35%
Both teams scored55%45%
Over 2.5 goals40%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals62%1.61
Over 2.5 goals34%2.90
Over 3.5 goals16%6.36
Both teams to score42%2.38
Marumo Gallants or Draw72%1.39
Siwelele or Draw60%1.67
Marumo Gallants to win and Over 2.518%5.49
Siwelele to win and Over 2.512%8.19
Marumo Gallants clean sheet40%2.52
Siwelele clean sheet32%3.17

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.1%
1-013.7%
0-013.3%
0-110.8%
2-08.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Marumo Gallants vs Siwelele?

Our prediction for Marumo Gallants vs Siwelele is Marumo Gallants to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Marumo Gallants vs Siwelele?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Marumo Gallants to score 1.2 goals and Siwelele 0.9.

Will both teams score in Marumo Gallants vs Siwelele?

Both teams to score has a 42% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Marumo Gallants last 20 games and 9 of Siwelele last 20.

How are Marumo Gallants playing?

Marumo Gallants have 1 win, 9 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

How are Siwelele playing?

Siwelele have 4 wins, 10 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Marumo Gallants and Siwelele last met?

It ended Marumo Gallants 0, Siwelele 0. In the last 2 meetings Marumo Gallants won 0 and Siwelele won 1.

What is the best bet for Marumo Gallants vs Siwelele?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.20, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Marumo against Siwelele. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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